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PowellVolz

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Everything posted by PowellVolz

  1. This would be pretty heavy if it’s something frozen. This area as a whole has been getting better organized. .
  2. Last few frames it looks like the precip was moving more East than SSE. .
  3. Yeah I’m just under 38. I think the mix in the valley will be around I40 and south. Even in Knox Co I think if someone gets under a convective burst it could lay on the back roads. .
  4. Just thinking about tonight..... it’s 23 at New Found Gap, 31 at Ober Gatlinburg and 37 at my house 1k feet. I’m not sure how much rain we will actually get out of round 2 with temp at 0c down to 3800ft. Not expecting a issue in Knoxville but even in the N knox co areas there could be “back roads” problems, especially in the shaded areas. I’d say the county roads are all in the 30’s by now. .
  5. Looks like Knoxville is gonna stay 5-7 degrees below our high temp. Thermal warming is about done and we are 37-38 degrees. .
  6. I mean..... if we’re looking at it like that I’d rather it be sunny and 70. .
  7. It’s really nice you follow severe this close so far out. Appreciate the updates. .
  8. Heavy dusting, 1/4” or so of snow. Woke up at 4am and it was really coming down. High ratio stuff. .
  9. WSW issued for Blount, Sevier and Cocke GSM. Sounds like over 6” possible on top .
  10. Euro QPF over the next 10 days. This looks to come in 2 or 3 systems so that ain’t bad. .
  11. Yeah it could be just wrapping back from Cyclogenesis. Could be some good ratios in that though. .
  12. Dude loop the radar.... it’s “backing” SW at the end. Is this the inverted trough? .
  13. Overall I’m pleased with how the short term mods handled this, especially the NAM. At my house I ended up with .42” of liquid and temps ranged from 32-35 depending on rates. The theme that continues is over performing qpf. It wasn’t by much but we did top out with a little more precip. If this was at night with the same temps, we would be looking at 3-4” on the grass. Hopefully the next two weeks someone in our area scores. .
  14. Crazy what a few hundred feet and a degree or two colder will do for you. Took this a few minutes ago after picking my son up from daycare. This ridge is right behind my house. .
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