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KeenerWx

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Everything posted by KeenerWx

  1. That meso low feature has popped up a few times. If it occurs, would certainly influence the final outcome. Surprises can happen up to last minute on these southern LM lake effect events.
  2. Tonight’s round looks less promising. 1” looks near the ceiling rather than the floor locally. Tomorrow remains more promising, but yet trends are a little iffy. Feeling there’s still a reasonable shot to eclipse the single event “record” of 2.4” for 23/24 season. I’ll go T tonight & 2.9” with second round.
  3. LOT’s morning discussion is a juicy read re: LE setup. Depending where it sets up, may make a short drive into the core on Friday.
  4. Looking forward to picking up, perhaps, the largest snowfall of the season. Only have to beat 2.4” - seems doable. Lake signal looks pretty interesting so far, too.
  5. Dogs already quite displeased. Going to be a long couple of days…
  6. Shows me around 7” and got less than 2” total…
  7. Just took dogs out and, surprisingly, it has whitened up a bit after losing everything this afternoon. Radar isn’t showing much but definitely snowing. Maybe the goods from further N & W being blown in?
  8. @RCNYILWX - feel like the LOT headline amounts verified for at least a significant portion of the WFO, correct? I know population trumps geography in terms of impacts forecasting, but I honestly think y’all did a great job.
  9. Just the way things break sometimes. Doesn’t discount the fun that was had in the morning. Things have been rather boring for a long stretch locally. I’ll get excitement from the most average of events. Agree about the afternoon, though. I was only out and about for a bit and it was downright miserable.
  10. This morning was briefly exciting, but rain throughout the day has eliminated nearly all snowcover. Unless a miracle happens with passing snow showers overnight, we’ll go into the deep cold with a bare ground. Even so, it’s been fun tracking the storm and watching it evolve over the past several days. Congrats to those who cashed in! On somewhat of a futility watch - if we don’t get appreciable accumulation in the next two weeks, will be slightly behind the disaster of ‘22-‘23 winter to-date. Nuts.
  11. Not even from the pre-Christmas heartbreaker?
  12. Sounds like consensus is to throw out all the models.
  13. It’s been trending more favorable, if ever so slightly. On the flip side, betting on a marginal set-up is risky. I think you’ll exit with a solid cover at worst (~3”), but have above 50/50 shot of warning level.
  14. Verbatim best NAM run locally since 0z last night. But the evolution of that run was…something.
  15. Nice little band in northern lake/northern porter (in) & into will (il). Just hoping something swings this way for a little refresher. An inch might be a long shot but one can wish
  16. Would rather not be in the money zone this far out, but alas. Floor for enjoyment would be 2-3” and no rain. Cover the ground a bit and liven up the landscape before the awful cold.
  17. Started with solid curtains of snow. Now rain. Another round of heavier returns about to pass over so we shall see…
  18. Trends are bleak locally, but have been out of the “big” game for some time. Still looking forward to what falls. The modest overnight surprise of ~2” brought back memories of being excited over anything weather related. It’s been rather boring lately. 1.7” front-end & 0.5” on the back IMBY call.
  19. Been more of a silent observer these past few seasons. But anecdotally, I seem to remember the Euro taking a few big L’s last winter. I think…
  20. 2.4” from yesterday evening into the overnight hours. Quite a surprise.
  21. Look at that gradient in far NE IL into N IN
  22. Lee has been an outlier in terms of RI. Wondering how it stack ranks in terms of RI followed by rapid weakening (RW?). Sans landfall, of course.
  23. Seems locally that the oaks are stressing from summer. Rather noticeable & widespread shed of small green acorns.
  24. Can confirm the drifting is getting a bit extreme in my little corner of rural NW Indiana. Roads are indistinguishable from the surrounding farmland. Sounds like it's raining outside.
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