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KeenerWx

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Everything posted by KeenerWx

  1. Rather localized and uncertain on extent of impact. Potential exists, but I’m not seeing a bonafide signal for robust stationary S/SW lake response. We shall see as it becomes more immediate. Much less enthusiastic about inland push of significance than LOT seems to be. But I’m not a met for good reason
  2. While there have been notably boring stretches this season, I think the floor would be a “C” grade locally. Tracking fairly well on days with snow cover, measurable days, # of significant events, and progress towards seasonal total. Without the once-in-a-lifetime November, this would be a much different story. But it’s nice not to look down the pipe and expect another “F”.
  3. 4.5” so far. Shouldn’t have a problem getting into 5-6” range.
  4. Approaching 3” here on the northern fringes. CAMs suggest possibly 3-5” left in the tank. Often performative and too aggressive, but cutting in half still results in a respectful 4-5” storm total. Became a bit too pessimistic given endless sawdust.
  5. Under banding as well and confirm it’s quite nice. Still feel a little nervous about hitting call of 3.9” but we’ll see how things evolve overnight.
  6. WWA issued locally for 4-7”. Tough forecast on the northern fringes, as alluded to in the LOT AFD. Lake influence will make it increasingly difficult to nail down.
  7. Still looks good. Will go 3.9” final call. Let’s go!
  8. Some modeling suggests strong CME impact tomorrow/tomorrow night. Weather permitting, puts another shot at getting lights across the region.
  9. Lake scraps as I’m winding down for the night. Maybe we get lucky and grab an inch overnight. Regardless, it looks pretty!
  10. Yeah looks about 5-10 miles wide atm. Best of luck on adding to your stack!
  11. Not buying latest run of HRRR verbatim, but would be a big time heartbreaker if it came true. 18-20” a mere 8-10 miles to my east. I could drive but if it’s “too impressive”, I don’t know that I’d risk it given limited & delayed snow treatment on roads in these parts.
  12. Happy that the CAMs nudged a little east over the day. They were hinting at a local miss by ~10 miles for the heavier stuff. I know that’s the way it plays with LE. But the psychology of this hobby makes it more preferable that any miss is wide. Anyway, it’s always fun to see some of the output as we get closer. Even though some are notoriously over-juiced. Big time heartbreaker for Michigan City area in this particular outcome.
  13. Pretty impressive LE signal on the globals for Wed/Thu, targeting a corridor from NW Indiana into NE Illinois. Probably won’t read deeper into it until Monday, but definitely tuned in.
  14. Looks like someone put a heavy caking of window spray snow on everything outside. Nice evening.
  15. Nice snowy scene outside even though it’s not stacking.
  16. Ended up with a couple nice boomers, tor watch and warning. Pretty solid day. Gonna hop in the hot tub after a bit and enjoy the temp drop.
  17. Rather excited about 60’s and shot at thunder tomorrow. Love winter weather, but I’m not a purist with the season by any means.
  18. Nearing an inch, probably a few more tenths left in the tank. Got what I wanted. Pack is fresh and it's picturesque winter out there. Congrats to all who are cashing in on the heavier totals!
  19. Yep! I don’t need to get the jack on this one. Would be perfectly content with an inch or two refresher.
  20. A 20-30 mile bump north would be nice. Basically going to be riding the northern edge and hoping for some accumulation.
  21. 0.3” call busted high on this current piece, but at least the flakes flew I suppose. For the second piece just gonna throw copium and see what we get.
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