KeenerWx
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Everything posted by KeenerWx
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Started with solid curtains of snow. Now rain. Another round of heavier returns about to pass over so we shall see…
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Trends are bleak locally, but have been out of the “big” game for some time. Still looking forward to what falls. The modest overnight surprise of ~2” brought back memories of being excited over anything weather related. It’s been rather boring lately. 1.7” front-end & 0.5” on the back IMBY call.
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Winter 2023/24 Medium/Long Range Discussion
KeenerWx replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Been more of a silent observer these past few seasons. But anecdotally, I seem to remember the Euro taking a few big L’s last winter. I think… -
Yep - Wheatfield, IN.
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2.4” from yesterday evening into the overnight hours. Quite a surprise.
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Look at that gradient in far NE IL into N IN
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Lee has been an outlier in terms of RI. Wondering how it stack ranks in terms of RI followed by rapid weakening (RW?). Sans landfall, of course.
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Seems locally that the oaks are stressing from summer. Rather noticeable & widespread shed of small green acorns.
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Can confirm the drifting is getting a bit extreme in my little corner of rural NW Indiana. Roads are indistinguishable from the surrounding farmland. Sounds like it's raining outside.
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Yeah it was restored ~5 hours after it went out. Have been dealing with some intermittent short outages throughout the evening. Though the snow does look amazing, I'm pretty happy it will end soon. Feeling like we're playing too close to the edge with trees & lines. Have ~45 trees in my "yard" and much more in the wooded half. Would rather avoid a big clean-up effort.
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Briefly went outside to see if there was any melting/if it would be safe enough to take a drive down to the gas station. Like others have reported - decent rippage. Also hearing some fairly loud cracking in the wooded half of my property. Wondering if the added weight is starting to do its work on some of the weaker/damaged large limbs now.
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We've been out for over 2 hours here in northern Jasper county.
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Weird question, but is that the Erie Lackawanna?
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Yeah, unfortunately colocating a lot of risk & impact parameters down in the South.
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Pretty interesting. Though, curious about the underlying datasets. Illinois looks a strange outlier on obesity - where MO & IN draw higher heat right up to the state line. Kansas also looks like it built a wall against diabetes, even though obesity seems to be quite prevalent.
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Evolution of lake band on HRRR is quite wild. Will be fun to watch it on radar. Should get a brief blitz; 2-3" looks good here.
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Pulled raw daily data out of MRCC cli-MATE into excel & did quick absolute value calculations on varied time periods - e.g., 2 day, 3 day, 4 day.
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Since 11/1/1958, this is what I see on a four-day swing for ORD: #1 1/31/1989 (65) - > 2/4/1989 (7) | 58 #2 1/2/2004 (61) - > 1/6/2004 (9) | 52 #3T 2/2/1965 (0) - > 2/6/1965 (49) | 49 #3T 2/3/1996 (-5) - > 2/7/1996 (44) | 49 #3T 12/29/1984 (63) - > 1/2/1985 (14) | 49
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Any guesses as to how much has been put down?
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Worried that my bullish trigger on the LE will struggle to pan out. 80/94 north still looks good in Lake County, but that band is struggling to make penetration inland. Guess we'll see!
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Agreed. Should be decent area coverage of 6”+. Flakes flying here north of CP. Should start to get some more excitement by 5-6A.
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Wonder how Tim & the Kankakee County crew are doing. Looks like there’s been some decent plumes playing in the eastern half over the past hour or so.
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Respectable showers making their way all the way down to Iroquois County.
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Lock 'er up, Hoosier.
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Yep, looks like a max of 0.68 around the Gary vicinity. Fairly widespread 10"+ amounts in the core of Lake County. Chicago proper even cashes in around 4-6".
