KeenerWx

Looks like we were refreshing at the same time.

Looking forward to seeing how it depicts full evolution. Streamers look to be hitting IKK right now. EDIT: HRRR is going to slam Lake County...

Yep. Pretty consistent agreement that LE signal will start to really crank around 9-10P, and impacting the western shore of LM until about 5-6A. Looks like NWI will spread spoils throughout the day on Sunday. Verbatim, output seems to favor localized jackpots in a Gary-Chesterton-Valpo-Merrillville box, roughly. Excited to watch it unfold!

Looping through the mesoscale model interpretations is interesting. Merely entertainment, but the 18Z HRRR had a pretty wild interpretation. This will be a fun one to watch unfold. Not necessarily for big dump potential, but the evolution. Field seems to have widened with regards to who is at play, but I still feel the general consensus around spread & totals seems to be on track. Someone in Lake (poss. Porter, too) will pull 6-8". ...now watch me regret saying that and Michigan City activates its magnet.

Guidance now putting more emphasis on a highly transient lake band. Significant mesolow influence toward the second half of its lifecycle, too. Seems to now max out over Porter, but with so many cards on the table I’d be hesitant to place a bet on “ground zero”. General spread the wealth looks likely, with some interesting lollipop potential in NWI.

Going to be a nail-biter with LE, as always. Some of the latest mesoscale indications seem to point towards a band that is organized, yet a bit transient in nature. Of course how it reflects will always be up to any hyper localized influencers. For NW Indiana as a whole, I'm thinking 2-4" from the storm with another 2-4" north of 30 for the LE. Lollipop potential north of 80, especially in Lake County. (I.e., I generally agree with your range)

April 24, 2010, November 29, 2010...and now April 27, 2011 Insurance premiums are going to be through the roof for this poor city. Common Mother Nature, I think they've had enough.