KeenerWx

Decent storming going on for a KP5. Low horizon glow locally, but seeing some reports from Southern WI that sound a bit more impressive. Not going to be anything like the May storm of course, but worth a peak outside if you're bored - or otherwise just generally interested. Edit: NVM - see that we reached KP7/G3. Quite a bit stronger than the original forecasts for tonight. Edit x2: Ended up lucking out and catching the strongest of the substorms this evening. They were quite brief but what a treat - show was visible to the naked eye.

Caught some brief reds on the horizon, but each spike in activity was short lived.

Fairly widespread tree damage across at least the northern portion of my county (Jasper). Lost a fairly mature tree in my own yard, but luckily didn’t hit the house or anything of consequence.

Tad above 3.5" so far & looking rather likely that we'll get into the 4-5" range total for Beryl. Anyone know when the last time tropical remnants laid down a similar amount of precipitation in the LOT area so early in the hurricane season?

Solid start with ~1” down so far this morning.

Top tier solar event for this latitude, for sure. Wild it comes so shortly on the heels of the eclipse. I’d suppose we’re rather lucky.

Caught the ole dipper in top left corner in this one.

Had low expectations due to the forecast for clouds. Very solid show so far.

10.7" for the '23-'24 season so far. 12.1" for '22'-'23. Assuming we don't get a silly late season thumper, will be 1st & 2nd worst seasons for snowfall locally since at least '05-'06.

HRRR trying to show additional initiation over next hour or two in E IL/W IN. We shall see. Holding out small hope for a stray boomer.

Wonder if locally this is the earliest 10% hatched tor outlook.

Locally, Feb 27th was the first day 1 SLGT for 2023. Not at all relevant, just found it somewhat interesting

Been snowing here for approx 2 hours, heavy for around an hour. No accumulation. Fine with that.

Looks like we’ll grab an inch or two tomorrow. With that we’ll be in striking distance of double digits. As much as I hate this winter, I’m all for whatever breaks the monotony. Futile records be damned. On the flip side, loving the warmth currently modeled. Happy to leave a s**t winter behind expeditiously.

Ready to torch into spring and get this s**t over with. Expectations were muted, but quite an accomplishment to (perhaps) come behind 22/23. Single event max at 2.4” and below double digits on the season. Lightning on the horizon last week got me excited. Let’s get on with some form of activity.

IMBY - 7.3” to date for 23/24 season vs 4.1” through Jan 19 for 22/23 season. Rather insignificant difference. However, will say that to date I’m a bit more “entertained” by this season. Tough/close breaks locally. But feel there has been a decent amount of opportunity to track, which is half of the fun of being an enthusiast.

Lake response already taking place. Band is going to be razor thin, at least initially. We’ll see how meso features evolve.

That meso low feature has popped up a few times. If it occurs, would certainly influence the final outcome. Surprises can happen up to last minute on these southern LM lake effect events.

Tonight’s round looks less promising. 1” looks near the ceiling rather than the floor locally. Tomorrow remains more promising, but yet trends are a little iffy. Feeling there’s still a reasonable shot to eclipse the single event “record” of 2.4” for 23/24 season. I’ll go T tonight & 2.9” with second round.

LOT’s morning discussion is a juicy read re: LE setup. Depending where it sets up, may make a short drive into the core on Friday.

Looking forward to picking up, perhaps, the largest snowfall of the season. Only have to beat 2.4” - seems doable. Lake signal looks pretty interesting so far, too.

Dogs already quite displeased. Going to be a long couple of days…

Shows me around 7” and got less than 2” total…

Just took dogs out and, surprisingly, it has whitened up a bit after losing everything this afternoon. Radar isn’t showing much but definitely snowing. Maybe the goods from further N & W being blown in?

@RCNYILWX - feel like the LOT headline amounts verified for at least a significant portion of the WFO, correct? I know population trumps geography in terms of impacts forecasting, but I honestly think y’all did a great job.