Frog Town
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Everything posted by Frog Town
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Good thinking but just go with a WSW for the sake of simplicity.
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I gotta ask the question again. If this keeps trending stronger/amped, could Blizzard conditions materialize somewhere. And if so, where's the most likely place.
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Quite the turn of events in SE MI/NW OH, and much of the sub for that matter. There's gotta be some talk of Blizzard Conditions in this area. Combination of more wound up system, high ratio, winds, etc. Can any METS speak to this, or is my inner weenie speaking?
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Really curious as to what things will look like in the morning once all this can be digested.
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Transfer seems to be a bit delayed as well. Low makes it further into southern PA
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I think we all were literally typing at the same time. Serious nerding out here. Most people are doing this on a Saturday night, Right??
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NAM jumps ship and heads NW.
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Quick math on the above is 30:1. Perhaps 20:1 is more realistic.
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It's just mind boggling to look at the Euro, and to almost discount 75% of the wester edge. Some Mets are probably gonna lose some sleep over that. To be 10-15" on the Euro, and 2-5 on the GFS......Normally I'd be ecstatic 36 hours out.
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Yes Please!! I remember that shift oh so well
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That is eye candy for a large part of the sub due duration, at the very least. I know it's the RAP but watching it snow like that on a descent snow pack with temps in the teens is awesome!
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Definitely get the step kid feeling over here sometimes.
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Funny, I used to dread the NW trend, now I'm begging for it.
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Sarcasm aside, do you see this coming back a little bit??
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Thanks for the insight. It just really makes you wander which way this is gonna go. I've fought the NW trend all my life, now i'm fighting the SE trend. Maybe it's time to move, lol.
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So why is everyone's forecast hedging towards the GFS operational in their AFD's??
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The GFS Para has a totally different look. Which one has been better lately??
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So what's the consensus here?? Are most abandoning the Euro and going with the GFS? Can someone post an ensemble blend of the two for comparison? That would be much appreciated and might help.
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TY What's more interesting is it's axis of heavy snow. Any validity to that, or is it also a complete outlier. by amped, you were probably also refereeing to it's position as well. got it
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Can someone explain the 21z RAP and why it's so far northwest?? Is it a joke model that never verifies, I assume, based on the sarcasm.
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12Z NAM trajectories are an improvement for those a bit west.
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Basically the Euro vs. the GFS more the mid forum folk......Normally I'd be be giddy for what the Euro is showing, but things have been strange lately.
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Can someone explain the difference between the two snow maps above?? I guess I always thought the Kuchera was I higher ratio version, but the difference above seems to be more than that.
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Anyone mind posting the Euro snow map for this storm. Offices seem to be riding this more than what the GFS and others are showing. Thanks!
