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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. WE are clearly becoming more confident as the winter goes on. Starting a thread a week out back in December would never happen. IN this set-up I say SE but with the SE Ridge coming back to life it becomes a Monster. 2008 repeater for CMH...
  2. I know I got shit for it, but he descending air mechanisms that dry slot produced, while it filled in, definitely did damage and changed the dynamics of the trowel making it more convective in nature. Hence the weird numbers everywhere.
  3. The shitty thing about my location is, that once we got dry slotted the returns are becoming convective in Nature. Not that nice meso banding that was going on west of Toledo. I can count on one hand in my 45 years that everything lines up. This is a frustrating hobby.
  4. This damn dry slot drives me nuts. Always seems to find me. Filling back in but I feel robbed.
  5. Thanks for the reassurance. Dry slot and sleet lasting forever was getting me down. You still think Toledo north is in a good spot?
  6. Last part of this in Southern Michigan is falling apart and going to under perform. Sorry.
  7. I've got some property I'd like to sell you....it's reeealll nice
  8. Especially with the antecedent conditions leading up to it.
  9. That looks to continue into next week, but that's a different thread. SE MI has definite reeled this one in.
  10. I'd imagine Watches will pop up tomorrow. Local mets in Toledo are definitely downplaying things.
  11. If you had to blend all the model output over the past few days, this would be it. Very GHDIII ish
  12. I think we are getting hood winked next week. It's one thing if the Canadian was showing cold, but it's the Euro showing it's hand, perhaps.
  13. Everyone ignoring what the Euro is showing next week??
  14. Those that are buying into the warm up next week, look at the difference between the Eruo and GFS. Night and day compared to each other. Euro says winter holds strong through next week. GFS says Winter is over. Curious what the Mets have to say about this??
  15. Position of the Hudson Bay Low. Will always suppress/shear. It's king in this pattern.
  16. Definitely not us. We are not normal. Normal people still rely on the 6 o'clock news...
  17. An observation if you will. It's one thing when a bunch of us weenies are discussing and dissecting the possibilities with these storms a week out. But when local mets starting showing something 7 days out saying a snow storm is on the horizon, you end up with a skeptic public when two days later the forecast has made a 180 turn. They really should wait till 3-4 days out to even show a graphic. i.e. the 12Z Euro
  18. 12Z Gem is a complete whiff with large wave separation and basically an arctic frontal passage. Curious?
  19. This storm has a similar look and feel to one that affected the region back in 2010. Here in SE Michigan the forecast was for 50 degree temps rain just days prior. It ended up turning into an ice storm that crippled the region with heavy snow just in mid Michigan and NW. Anyone else remember that one?? It was Presidents Day weekend.
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