WE are clearly becoming more confident as the winter goes on. Starting a thread a week out back in December would never happen. IN this set-up I say SE but with the SE Ridge coming back to life it becomes a Monster. 2008 repeater for CMH...
I know I got shit for it, but he descending air mechanisms that dry slot produced, while it filled in, definitely did damage and changed the dynamics of the trowel making it more convective in nature. Hence the weird numbers everywhere.
The shitty thing about my location is, that once we got dry slotted the returns are becoming convective in Nature. Not that nice meso banding that was going on west of Toledo. I can count on one hand in my 45 years that everything lines up. This is a frustrating hobby.
Those that are buying into the warm up next week, look at the difference between the Eruo and GFS. Night and day compared to each other. Euro says winter holds strong through next week. GFS says Winter is over. Curious what the Mets have to say about this??
An observation if you will. It's one thing when a bunch of us weenies are discussing and dissecting the possibilities with these storms a week out. But when local mets starting showing something 7 days out saying a snow storm is on the horizon, you end up with a skeptic public when two days later the forecast has made a 180 turn. They really should wait till 3-4 days out to even show a graphic. i.e. the 12Z Euro
This storm has a similar look and feel to one that affected the region back in 2010. Here in SE Michigan the forecast was for 50 degree temps rain just days prior. It ended up turning into an ice storm that crippled the region with heavy snow just in mid Michigan and NW. Anyone else remember that one?? It was Presidents Day weekend.