Frog Town

A slight glimmer of hope from some nice DTX analysis this Sunday am.........I know, I know....I'm grabbing on straws. So far, the satellite representation (including a decent look from GOES-15 in this fairly data void satellite area) of the lead vorticity spokes pivoting around northern upper low suggest this energy may be digging a bit sharper southwest into the Northwest Territories. If the trend were to persist, a slightly deeper mean upper trough would result and the odds that some light deformation snow from the southern system would lift into southern parts of the forecast area would increase. Given this, will not abandon the idea of some light accumulating snow over far southern areas completely despite a definite consolidation of most model solutions in that direction.

I can't tell you how many times I sat in the bulls eye of a snow storm, only to watch it trend north at the last minute. Hmmm...Curious??

I guess the 12Z Euro is the nail, or the last straw, for us Northern hopefuls! Ohio and Indiana deserves this though.

I was just gonna post that DTX Discussion. I thought it was an in-depth analysis vs. GRR's one or two sentences, LOL.

Is the screaming pacific Jet(similar to last year at this time) really expected to flood the country with pacific air until early January?

An exact repeat of that is what it looks like.

I'm getting this weird feeling that things are shaping up exactly like last year. It's almost a Deja Vu feeling. Ripping pacific jet, signs of Strong El nino, etc.... Many Winter Forecasts are identical to last year at this time. .....Anyone else getting that feeling?

Soooo, what you're saying is this cool November will flip a warm DEC-JAN-FEB, like what typically happens with a strong El NiNO??

Do tell!

Not quite in the Nam's wheel house yet.

I truly believe that Winter (13-14') was a once in 50 year event. I would be amazed to see something like that come together again, in my lifetime.

Not gonna lie, I've been hoping for this thread to started as well! Way too early to get excited about any particular prognostication, but the CDC's outlook gets me excited about my first Great Lakes Christmas Ale during the first flakes!!