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Frog Town

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  1. Frog Town
    Great Met out of Toledo who would of satisfied the kid in all if we had social media back in the 80's and 90's, when I was a kid. Anyways, he does an awesome of job of getting into the science and behind the scenes stuff that most don't bother with. Great guy as well. He delves into the possibilities over the next few weeks. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1B3hupyCAs/
  2. Frog Town
    This! Whether is comes to fruition is another question but this is where we need the cold to get real action in sub..
  3. Frog Town
    Said it 1000x's already, we NEED the mean trough to be anchored in the upper Midwest/Plains for use to get what we want. Anything over the Great lakes is thread the needle hybrids and clippers, or what we've had the past two winters. Arctic air hitting the great lakes is what we want to happen after a big dog.. There is light at the end of the tunnel if the ENSO/Pacific can transition to a neutral as the it appears to be doing towards the middle of January. Question is, will it be too late??
  4. Frog Town
    If this works out, it will be a repeat of last year. I've said it a 1000x's before, the cold needs to be centered to our west for this sub to be in any kind of action other than the nickel and diming we've been experiencing.
  5. Frog Town
    I can be patient and wait 10 days for this pattern flip that seems to be modeled pretty well on just about everything, but I'm hoping it lasts for a few weeks. Hate to wait 10 days for something that lasts 5...
  6. Frog Town
    Seems like that's been progged pretty well and is apparently part of the pattern change mid-January that everyone is banking on.
  7. Frog Town
    Appreciate you. Thanks!
  8. Frog Town
    Does NW Ohio live in a radar gap or does the system truly depend that much on lake enhancement that the returns weaken that dramatically in our area? Seeking the expertise of an actual met. I mean, it's still snowing, but has nowhere near the returns it had 10 miles before entering NW Ohio.. Thanks!!
  9. Frog Town
    Exactly!
  10. Frog Town
    AKA the Irish Hills, yes. I believe it affects our storms in the Summer and snow in the Winter. More anecdotal, but other Mets have commented on it.
  11. Frog Town
    Where I sit in Sylvania, I believe we’re affected by subtle orographic descent off the glacial ridge to our northwest. I’ve seen it too many times to ignore—it often produces a noticeable drying effect, especially when systems approach from the NW.
  12. Frog Town
    Just need to keep that -NAO in check so we don't end of CAD...In this pattern, a weaker -NAO(with all other things being equal) is a what we want. I know the east coasters hate this but what's good for them is not necessarily good for us. -NAO is good for us when it comes to maintaining a winter like pattern locally, but ideally after we have a deep snow pack.
  13. Frog Town
    .5" here in Toledo metro so heavy stuff must of went just south of here.
  14. Frog Town
    I think there’s some wisdom in this. Kids growing up in today’s climate will, 20+ years from now, look back with snowy nostalgia on winters that followed this general pattern across much of the region. We bring this up often, and this is a good example of how fickle our memories can be when it comes to how things actually unfolded in the past.
  15. Frog Town
    If there's a place that's prepared for this last minute, it's your neck of the woods. Congrats!
  16. Frog Town
    This couldn't be more true. Southern 1/3 of DTX is in the rip-off zone between cutters and Miller b's.. May be why I get high anxiety is storms even when we have a Winter Storm Warning and 6+ forecasted. Seem it bust too many times.
  17. Frog Town
    Finally starting to get a mean trough position that is favorable for storms that are not just NW flow dusters and cold. Still a couple weeks out but a good sign for us in the lakes points west.. Changes appear to already be taKING place in the pacific.
  18. Frog Town
    It will always be like this with the mean trough axis over us or to our east, which is pretty much where it's been the last two winters. Light dusters galore but when the big ones come, we warm up. Need the mean trough 500 miles to our west which is when we cash in with the big dogs. But of course, we always run the risk of Miller B's giving the goods to the EC. Climate..
  19. Frog Town
    Watches likely to be issued for southern mi this afternoon. Even though it's for ice, still makes it feel more festive with a potential winter-type storm looming. Better than what it looked like a week ago when they were talking about mid 60's.
  20. Frog Town
    Take away...when you buy a snowblower, it doesn't snow and when you get rid of it, it does.
  21. Frog Town
    Here’s the issue. It’s like having a warm early May, then a cooldown leading up to the June solstice, and declaring that summer is over and not coming. Playing devil’s advocate, though—winter is cumulative and depends on a cold source and upstream snowpack. Summer doesn’t necessarily rely on those same factors to still turn out hot, even if there’s an early “snowball” effect to cool things down prior to the solstice.
  22. Frog Town
    Reality, but still a total buzz kill.
  23. Frog Town
    Yesterday we have a negative trough axis modeled for this weekends storm. Today not so much...need that to change or thing dusts south of us and weakens out to sea.
  24. Frog Town
    Gunna suck pretty bad for all of our inner child hopes for a classic white Christmas hopes. Praying things turn around Christmas week.
  25. Frog Town
    Wouldn't mind a little warm up if it means recentering the mean trough west of here so we can get some big dogs. Mid December 2013 warmed up prior to the epic period that followed. This pattern is cool in like January or February to maintain..
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