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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Frog Town
    When I ever I do this, things change....
  2. Frog Town
    12Z Euro had a nice little surprise redevelopment for the southern lakes folks. Won't pan out but nice to see everyone is still in it.
  3. Frog Town
    I'm surprised the futility of the early 90's did take out this board. Wait, there wasn't even the interweb...lol.
  4. Frog Town
    Wasn't there a tropical system connection to that storm??
  5. Frog Town
    Let me ask you all this- Would you rather have a cold and snowy first half of December to be taken by a Grinch Storm the week of Christmas, or the opposite? To answer my own question, I'd take the latter. Hoping the latter is the case.
  6. Frog Town
    12/19 on the 12/3 0Z run vs. 12/19 on the 12/3 6Z run. Could....this....be...the big pattern change?? change??
  7. Frog Town
    Because when we were kids we were to taught to believe in Santa Clause....I guess it's sticking with some of us for some reason, lol at myself.
  8. Frog Town
    Definitely getting interesting next weekend. A lot can change of course, but at least we've got something.
  9. Frog Town
    More like WAD...
  10. Frog Town
    A couple clicks west of you it's a different story. Elevation...
  11. Frog Town
    That's an understatement!
  12. Frog Town
    You guys have excess rain in the past 5 months??
  13. Frog Town
    Same here. About a week ahead of last year. Euro still has nice cold/wintry look for the next two weeks. Also supported by its ensemble. American models have been like unmanned fire hoses.
  14. Frog Town
    Euro 12Z holds on to the cold a bit. Not as extreme but respectable.
  15. Frog Town
    Annnnd just wait for tomorrow's data.
  16. Frog Town
    Was doing the Turkey Day Trot in Detroit in '07 and about 1-2 inches fell that day. It was in Novi but i'm looking at a pic right now of it.
  17. Frog Town
    Yup! That was a very cold and snowy one here in NW Ohio.
  18. Frog Town
    Wa, wa, wa, wait a minute....It's the 300 hr 6Z GFS....Bank it After further review, I believe I was possessed by JB.
  19. Frog Town
    Looking pretty cold, and potentially snowy, around these parts for Thanksgiving. Pretty good ensemble support per today's guidance.
  20. Frog Town
    More like love to hate it.
  21. Frog Town
    The law of averages says it's a fool's errand to bet against most Winter forecasts(Warm & Dry) at this time, but the long term teleconnections are dangling a carrot.....and i'm a sucker for it.
  22. Frog Town
    Has there ever been a hurricane intensify that quickly, in recorded history at least??
  23. Frog Town
    On top of the arbitrariness of the forecaster, the timing impact( weekday commute vs. weekend) and early in the season storms vs. battle hardened end of the season is another big factor. So why are we talking about this again??
  24. Frog Town
    I hope we can repeat this patter at least a couple times during Winter.
  25. Frog Town
    If the IOD is forecast to be in a positive phase this winter couple with an El Nino, which typically translates to an MJO phase between 8-1, why are so many winter forecast's warm. Curious??
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