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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Frog Town
    This was yesterday's 12Z Euro eye candy for the east coast, lol. That would be reeaally nice!
  2. Frog Town
    Teleconnections say No to Upper Midwest cutters and SE ridge. I'd imagine the models will smooth out but I wouldn't trust the runs that far out at this point.
  3. Frog Town
    Great memory! For some reason I can't recall this one very well and Christmas Eve 2002 keeps coming to mind, which was a bit NW of this one.
  4. Frog Town
    More light for us to enjoy the Winter landscape that hopefully unfolds..
  5. Frog Town
    Much appreciated. I'm a Math/Physics teacher and can piece together a lot of the microphysics at it relates to your craft. You are very good and teaching this stuff. You ever consider it?
  6. Frog Town
    Awesome insight! Thanks. Is this MJO dependent?
  7. Frog Town
    These were my college years in SE Michigan and it sucked! I remember it all ending in January of '99 with the Blizzard.
  8. Frog Town
    Definitely happing just east of here on radar but maybe it's below the reflectivity locally.
  9. Frog Town
    I would argue this is more of an MJO and teleconnection thing.
  10. Frog Town
    This is all good stuff...
  11. Frog Town
    I have a few Dr. acquaintances that think M.D. stands for Major Deity, so I see where you're coming from...
  12. Frog Town
    Good to have you back Stebo! Nice changes in the ENS regarding Winters return around the new year, no?
  13. Frog Town
    Fingers crossed in the vanishing zone! Models have been back and forth with said confluence. Today's 12Z Euro says less of it!
  14. Frog Town
    Back on topic... Pretty big shifts in the MJO today, for the better.
  15. Frog Town
    Face value, yes, but haven't they been missing the cold more than 7-10 out??
  16. Frog Town
    12Z Euro is a step in the right direction for wintry type weather through christmas for the majority of the sub. Again, the warm keeps getting pushed down the road.
  17. Frog Town
    Welp, for this questioning the cool down and BAM et al, this will be the test... So far the ensembles have missed every cool down in the past month.
  18. Frog Town
    2013-14 Winter was our '78 winter of yore that everyone talked about. Just glad we got to experience and remember it.
  19. Frog Town
    Hail Canada!
  20. Frog Town
    That little trough near Hawaii works to hold that Ridge in place, correct?
  21. Frog Town
    GEFS are following suit with the cool down post 12/20. All good signs so far today.
  22. Frog Town
    Noticed that for sure but probably eastern Ohio, and some really good trends at the end of the 12Z run for a nice trajectory of the cold! Just need to see this hold and jump to the ENS and more models.
  23. Frog Town
    Alright, I know it's the 6Z GFS, but it's showing signs in the longer range of stubbornly holding onto the cold. Seems like the TPV is making a big difference that the models are really struggling with as we go forward. Case in point is this weeks cold shot being stronger than forecast 2 days ago. While it's transient, I bet it lasts longer. .... #optimistic
  24. Frog Town
    And then there's always the GEM festivus for the rest of us...
  25. Frog Town
    Today's Euro is a step in the right direction in the long range!
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