Frog Town

At this point I'd want to be anywhere but in the sweet spot. With the exception of maybe Tennessee. Or Hell.

I do better with this type of storm chasing stress than that of chasing shit that disappears. Tomorrow the GFS will be north and the Euro will be south lol.

You said it yourself. Time for everyone to your east to cash in a bit. You Iowa folk have had some great winters the past few years. Throw us a bone!!

This thing just looks juiced on radar. Nice storms/heavy rain returns wrapping into the cold air. I like it, albeit short lived.

12Z GFS looking hot! Funny how things are trending towards the Euro now. Definitely got that amped look again. Track will change a million times but good trend away from a strung out POS.

A strong out POS would be money for many of us around here. #desperateforsnow

I have never had a ticket in my 30 years of driving. Secret Service agents kind of made fun of me in a background investigation. Grampa was my nickname growing up.

Cave to what?

Interesting development...

Keep that Banana High to the north a little stronger and we're in action!

Having it fall apart 24 hours before would be a treat! We haven't even had something to track within 5 days.

Weather sucks and I don't believe in Winter any more! Maybe Krampus will come now!

Euro dumps legit arctic air into the sub around new year. However, this guy is December bitten, January shy...

Save for the Artic outbreak of 93 and a Post Holiday Blizzard of 98/99, it was a lack luster decade for this snow

Correct. With a snow storm on Christmas Eve. One of my favorite Christmas periods weather wise.

I remember that "4 days later...." part. Pretty epic for the middle part of the sub.

And once you do that, hell will freeze over. We may have a grasp on the physics of it, but otherwise we are still in the infancy stages. No offense to anyone.

I like his calm and collected approach. JB and others are just losing their minds with all the other bullshit that's going on. Politics is poison these days.

Definitely looking like things will turn around for the better as the Holidays approach. A lot of ensemble support that doesn't seem to be fading as we approach.

No such thing!

The fly in the ointment... Nice analysis from GRR: Impact of Tropical Storm Rai (west Pacific) on our weather for next week As it turns out, Tropical Storm Rai, in the western Pacific is heading due west toward the Philippine Islands. It should become a typhoon by this evening. Why to we care about this in Michigan? As it turns out, it will have a major impact our weather for the next week. What this does is it stalls the MJO on the edge of phase 6 to phase 7 since in phase 7. In phase 7 the area near the Philippines should be dry. That changes the entire northern hemispheric wave train. It will delay the arrives of the really cold air till after Christmas (we need a solid phase 7 for that cold air to get here). This means largely zonal flow for our area for the next week. That will prevent any strong pushes of cold air and also not allow the much phasing with the next two storm systems that follow the Thursday event.

It's out there but I love that look. Not gonna get too excited yet.

Too early to make that call. Not saying it won't, just too early. I'll put a Christmas Ale on it that that the pattern next week makes a massive adjustment towards cold by this Thursday.