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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. This is 3 storms combined. May be a bit misleading
  2. This would be sooo much better if this weekends storm would materialize into something. I feel like we a chasing ghosts if nothing actually happens that is even close to the models.
  3. Holding together here in NW OH and SE MI for some nice high ratio fluff. Still amazing the trend this winter for systems to fade as they reach this longitude....
  4. The radar is looking way more solid than the modeling. Purduewx80 was spot on in his analysis!
  5. Is the real cold actually gonna come south of 80 like modeled and forecasted for days now?
  6. I've noticed over the years that the Big Storms usually come at the beginning, or end, of an arctic air mass. The Euro is hinting at the end of this current outbreak. Week of 15-19 seems to be our best chance of something special.
  7. Looking at pattern recognition, this appears more likely, and not just because it benefits me more, lol.
  8. Why CLE wouldn't issue any advisory for the Toledo area is beyond me! We've had two inches in two hours and have accidents everywhere. We also have another 2 to go. On top of that we will have a legit flash freeze overnight with 30-40 mph winds and an absolutely treacherous morning commute. It's like having 7/10 indicators for tornadoes and not issuing a watch. Almost borderline negligent. If it's not happening in Cleveland proper or the snowbelt, they won't mention it.
  9. It's nice to have Stebo in our neck of the woods offering his insight and wisdom. He's kind of like a big brother for us Michigan/Indiana/Ohio folk. Thanks, Stebo
  10. Most of us take a hiatus from April-November
  11. Definitely wagons south with this so far today. Seems to be a disconnect with Thermals though. Models seems to be playing catchup with a quickly evolving pattern. Thoughts??
  12. I think something is about to happen, and I also believe no one has a clue, yet. The post above is hinting at it.
  13. Possible storms aside, it's just refreshing to see real cold and storms that won't die out at our door step due to confluence.
  14. Soooo, you're sayin there's a chance!?!
  15. Do you think this will affect all of Ohio?? Thanks for brining this to our attention. Also, in this current set up, why doesn't Toledo get lake affect. Is it our Elevation??
  16. What mesoscale model depicts lake affect/enhancement the best?? Sitting here in Toledo hoping for some lake enhancement with tomorrow's stiff easterly wind. Any help would be appreciated.
  17. According to the 12Z GFS on 1/30 real winter will start the weekend of the 2/5 in the Great Lakes. Curious.
  18. 6" in Toledo final call. Wild card for busting low is rare lake enhancement that the models have been hinting at.
  19. 7.5" for Toledo. A bit wishful thinking but it feels right. First and final call.
  20. So not only do we use reverse psychology on our kids, but also on ourselves, LOL.
  21. IF we learned anything from the last storm at this exact same time prior, congrats Mid-Michigan. Ok, let me have it.
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