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Frog Town

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Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. The December and January prior to the Blizzard of 78 was mild
  2. For those in NW Ohio and SE Michigan, the 18Z Euro is the answer to your prayers. Thet's the track that this storm needs to take for all of Michigan to cash in.
  3. That's the best model run i've seen all day, lol. I guess it's better it's at the end of the day vs. the beginning...
  4. One hell of a cut off in SEMI though. Drive 20 miles and you go from 2-4" to 12". I'm on the 2-4" side.
  5. I'll be brutally honest. BAM nailed this potential of a secondary low development yesterday and really stuck to their guns of a snow field that is now being projected by all the models.
  6. Anyone thinking there could be a secondary low development further south?? Could explain why less moisture is making it north.
  7. I notice the NAM is a bit slower with the SLP at 84 hours. Would this argue towards a further East solution?
  8. Again, you can't let the Operational(especially the GoFuS) get you down. The ENS of that model actually has the SLP going over CLE. This would still provide the Sub with an awesome storm. This should start to tighten up in about 36 hours. Patience.. Last night 18Z GFS had it over PIT
  9. Good point, but a counter point is this is NOT a typical pattern we are entering so CLIMO is off the table so to speak.
  10. I may be mistaken, but wasn't that 2002? I only remember cause I just bought a new house and was up all night painting.
  11. Basically you should be happy if your state is covered in blue at this juncture.
  12. This is still the only thing we should be looking at right now....patience, or you'll be disappointed. Carry on.
  13. Final call time, huh? 11" imby with 50+ wind gusts along with temps crashing to single digits. Krampus is coming...
  14. Great perspective, and insight, thank you!
  15. Nice to have a local met rooting my area. 2017 was a cold pattern starting in early December so the robust clipper that dropped 5" in our area Christmas was nice, but to have this bigger threat a few days out this year is pretty cool as well.
  16. Hard to argue with these stats. https://www.wtol.com/article/weather/climate-friday/white-christmas-chances-on-the-rise-for-2022-climate-change-impacts/512-6776cb3a-ea20-4fd5-bc12-b25b19c6b080
  17. Still think the low ends up a bit further east looking at the EPS Low cluster. Regardless we all cash in for some pre-christmas magic
  18. The mid Ohio folks are always stuck between an aps runner or a cutter. Ya'll need a west to east bowling ball patter. This one is a nail biter for you.
  19. I know I speak for most here when I say I don't want to see this solution hold day after day only to have it fall apart within 2 days. Not saying it will, but I feel like that has been the trend over the years.
  20. CAD will also = Sun Shine which has been absent lately.
  21. If we can just get something special to come in on the front end of this, we'll be golden!
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