Frog Town

Beauty's in the eye beer holder...or however that goes.

12Z NAM coming in a little more juiced for snow starved parts of the sub, less the lake affect crew....

12Z NAM coming in a little snowier for Northern OH with the Sunday system.

Hopefully with it's current trajectory, us in NW OH can only get in the way of DET. The canopy of this storm, as currently projected, looks to be quite large as long as you're NW of the low track..

Nice summation! TY

The RGEM blew a little life back into this Sunday's system. Bit more of a phase. Curious??

Cold really looks to settle in at the end of the run. Maybe a nice clipper pattern for once!

Definitely a SE part of the sub pattern setting up. Maybe some good phasing will throw some moisture far enough back into the deeper arctic air??

It literally can not get any worse. At least we've got that goin for us.

Agreed. Just need to make until the 20th and still have that look...otherwise it's all smoke and mirrors.

You mean like in the Northern Hemisphere??

The models will be behind as the EPO crashes creating a lag. Thinking this baroclinic zone ends up more near Chicago or even DTW.

Euro basically caves to more progressive GFS.

It's the catch 22 cross we bare here in NW OH. Too strong, NW trend and dry slot...Weaker and rides to our south. That track of the 12Z Euro is almost too perfect for us. Never seems to work out. Ya never do know though.

I'm out. See you all in February! I'll probably be a much more effective person without the distraction that exciting winter weather is to me.

I'm out. See you all in February! I'll probably be a much more effective person without the distraction that exciting winter weather is to me.

I feel like last year, at about this time, everyone was in the Acceptance stage of grief (Denial, anger, bargaining, depression, acceptance). Then, low and behold, February comes.

Good news at this point is the news can't get any worse...

I remember having thunderstorms Christmas Eve 1982 coming out of midnight mass, but didn't remember the temps on Christmas day that year....I was 7

The Euro seems to think that Winter will come back Mid-January and beyond...

That lead to 70's in February in 98'!! Not good...

Most models have MJO in entering phase 8 by January 10-ish, albeit low amplitude so don't expect it to last long.

Of course, the cold is gone and the Euro sends a storm to Cleveland putting my area in the perfect spot for a snow storm if there was any cold around. Good lord!

Nail in the coffin for the NW Ohio/SE Mich peeps...sorry. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Latest radar, 0z model guidance, and surface observations suggest that we are perhaps entering a perceived "lull" in the precipitation along the arctic front, especially across NW OH this evening as the upper-jet energy begins to arrive across the Lower OH Valley which will lead to explosive cyclogenesis late tonight into Friday. This may lead to lower snowfall totals and overall impacts across NW OH. However, we are currently watching an area of precipitation across SW OH that continues to strengthen, noted by multiple surface observations of moderate to heavy snow at times. This area of precipitation will work its way north and east into the region later tonight in conjunction with the strong, arctic front. This will be the area to watch for any significant impacts with regards to snowfall rates and/or blowing snow overnight and into the morning hours.

Nail in the coffin for the NW Ohio/SE Mich peeps...sorry. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Latest radar, 0z model guidance, and surface observations suggest that we are perhaps entering a perceived "lull" in the precipitation along the arctic front, especially across NW OH this evening as the upper-jet energy begins to arrive across the Lower OH Valley which will lead to explosive cyclogenesis late tonight into Friday. This may lead to lower snowfall totals and overall impacts across NW OH. However, we are currently watching an area of precipitation across SW OH that continues to strengthen, noted by multiple surface observations of moderate to heavy snow at times. This area of precipitation will work its way north and east into the region later tonight in conjunction with the strong, arctic front. This will be the area to watch for any significant impacts with regards to snowfall rates and/or blowing snow overnight and into the morning hours.