MUWX
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Canadian is a pretty solid sleet/ice storm for southern Missouri, followed by a pretty solid snow storm.
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Not a great sounding reader, but man, the icon is scary. Hopefully it’s sleet, but if it’s ice, that’s close to 2007.
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Brutally cold gfs run for mid missouri.
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Do you have the ice maps? I would think there is some decent ice totals on the south side of the heavy snow.
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I think pretty much everyone here would be ok with the 12z Canadian.
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That western Kansas band is nightmare fuel. A 5-10 mile wide band got hammered. I think one location for 27 inches, which is almost a state record. Outside of that bad, got substantially less.
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Somehow, I think I’m actually in a great spot. Got that foggy look outside, visibility under a mile.
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They also mention thundersnow for NW AR
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These 0z runs should be the first runs with it being fully sampled, correct?
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Highly uncertain forecast down that way. Boom or bust potential, more so down there than anywhere else.
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Tulsa may have just issued the smallest winter storm watch in NWS history.
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Well it certainly isn’t good
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Well… that was fun while it lasted.
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Nam isn’t pretty but it’s not a total disaster. Dare I say…. It’s pretty close to what SGF has been calling for.
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I might have jinxed the entire area by saying that SGF should mention the possibility of higher impacts.
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I cant blame them, but I think they would be well served to mention the possibility of higher impacts.
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Springfield definitely is not buying into the higher amounts.
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One thing that may be working in our favor is that there was a recon mission off the west coast yesterday afternoon for research purposes and that data has been incorporated into the GFS at least. I know that data was included in last nights GFS.
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Fairly substantial change from 12z. A step toward the GFS, it seems.
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Seems like it was setting up to be a big hit for southwest mo…. Not that extrapolating the nam ever ends poorly.
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Springfield is starting to buy in on the threat it appears, prepare for it to start trending in the wrong direction now.
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Euro, NAM and Canadian are showing some light snow for SWMO later this week. Not much but better than nothing.
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Models typically under do the cold air. Trend could continue but I am not sure we get much snow out of it regardless. Cold air is going to be fairly shallow for a while.
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Southwest Missouri would get screwed per the 18z GFS, probably means it’s locked in.
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December 15th-16th Warmth, Wind, and Severe Threat
MUWX replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Do not love the look of that super cell headed in the general direction of KC
