MUWX
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I like what Tulsa did with the winter storm warning. From what I understand, not every office is allowed to do what they did because it’s in the trial phase but this absolutely should have been a WSW in SWMO. I haven’t seen travel impacts like this in a long time.
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Portions of SWMO upgraded to an ice storm warning.
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Temps are still creeping up, but so far they have pretty substantially under performed. Something to watch as the night progresses.
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I think it’ll accumulate on roads very easily but not so much on trees or power lines. Tulsa seems to agree, which is why they are going winter storm warning instead of an ice storm warning
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Temps are going to be warm enough to keep it from accreting efficiently up here I think. Roads are a different story
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I think the NWS set themselves up for failure by going with a warning.
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HRRR is pretty ugly for all of us.
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Should be fully sampled for the 0z runs. Don’t believe it was for 12z but not positive.
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Pretty much NAM vs the world at this point.
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I guessing a very powdery inch, maybe 2
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Speaking of events falling apart… High res models really backing off the event for tomorrow morning.
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I think you can disregard how dry the euro was, for now. However, you can’t ignore the overall southern trend it, and other models continue to show. Seems like a central OK to central AR storm
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Coming out of this stretch with nothing but a couple dustings is hard to do, but it appears that is what I am about to do. Pattern looks very boring after Sunday too.
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I expect the strong push of cold air to continue to push this south. I don’t expect much of anything in southern Missouri, and I’d be pretty nervous if I was in northern Arkansas.
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Sure starting to feel like this is going to be south of most of us in Missouri
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SGF zone forecast for Greene county calls for “heavy snow accumulation” Sunday. Don’t recall seeing that before.
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Local Mets are far from excited about Friday.
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Roads are starting to get slick in Springfield. I think a flash freeze is a real possibility tonight. Saw a MoDOT plow in the ditch on the way home
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I think the Friday system could still be interesting. Cold air should be crashing in and models typically don’t handle that well.
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I am putting all my faith in the nam. It has never let me down before
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The problem is it’s kind of GFS vs the world
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If the NAM is right, there are going to be a lot of unhappy people in parts of Kansas and Missouri
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My goodness. The Friday storm is simply incredible…. Can’t wait for the north trend.
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One of the colder GFS runs that I remember
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Missouri hits the jackpot on the 18z GFS.
