MUWX
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Texas/Oklahoma Discussion & Obs Thread 2021
MUWX replied to It's Always Sunny's topic in Central/Western States
If your looking at the precipitation output, the icon only shows rain and snow. So it doesn’t pick up sleet or freezing rain. If you compare temps and precip maps, you get an better understanding of impacts. -
Canadian is a pretty solid sleet/ice storm for southern Missouri, followed by a pretty solid snow storm.
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Not a great sounding reader, but man, the icon is scary. Hopefully it’s sleet, but if it’s ice, that’s close to 2007.
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Brutally cold gfs run for mid missouri.
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Do you have the ice maps? I would think there is some decent ice totals on the south side of the heavy snow.
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I think pretty much everyone here would be ok with the 12z Canadian.
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That western Kansas band is nightmare fuel. A 5-10 mile wide band got hammered. I think one location for 27 inches, which is almost a state record. Outside of that bad, got substantially less.
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Somehow, I think I’m actually in a great spot. Got that foggy look outside, visibility under a mile.
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They also mention thundersnow for NW AR
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These 0z runs should be the first runs with it being fully sampled, correct?
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Highly uncertain forecast down that way. Boom or bust potential, more so down there than anywhere else.
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Tulsa may have just issued the smallest winter storm watch in NWS history.
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Well it certainly isn’t good
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Well… that was fun while it lasted.
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Nam isn’t pretty but it’s not a total disaster. Dare I say…. It’s pretty close to what SGF has been calling for.
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I might have jinxed the entire area by saying that SGF should mention the possibility of higher impacts.
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I cant blame them, but I think they would be well served to mention the possibility of higher impacts.
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Springfield definitely is not buying into the higher amounts.
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One thing that may be working in our favor is that there was a recon mission off the west coast yesterday afternoon for research purposes and that data has been incorporated into the GFS at least. I know that data was included in last nights GFS.
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Fairly substantial change from 12z. A step toward the GFS, it seems.
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Seems like it was setting up to be a big hit for southwest mo…. Not that extrapolating the nam ever ends poorly.
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Springfield is starting to buy in on the threat it appears, prepare for it to start trending in the wrong direction now.
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Euro, NAM and Canadian are showing some light snow for SWMO later this week. Not much but better than nothing.
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Models typically under do the cold air. Trend could continue but I am not sure we get much snow out of it regardless. Cold air is going to be fairly shallow for a while.
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Southwest Missouri would get screwed per the 18z GFS, probably means it’s locked in.
