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sbnwx85

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Everything posted by sbnwx85

  1. Not a historic run around here but the lake effect can’t be ignored. Going to be a long duration event especially on the west coast of Michigan.
  2. By a county or two. I don't trust it's snow output more than 24 hours out, but it will be interesting to see how it trends (presumably east) with the system.
  3. GFS holds serve. Slightly stronger low but no appreciable differences in track.
  4. I'm perusing area AFD's and while the office's note the different evolutions of this storm between the GFS and Euro... nobody seems to want to pick which one they believe makes the most sense. Main message is lots of moisture to work with, high winds and drier snow than today will cause problems, lake enhancement will be impressive and it'll be v cold as the system pushes away.
  5. I laugh but that's actually a valid point.
  6. The science might say GFS but my heart says Euro.
  7. It can never be easy, can it? And I have no room in this forum to complain because right now I’m looking at either 10” of snow or a ‘78 redux. But it would be nice if the models could have a consensus for more than six hours at a time.
  8. Eyeballing about 2-2.5”. Rain mixing in now.
  9. 6z GFS has me down to a measly foot.
  10. Euro coming in stronger. Basically in line with the GFS thru hour 96.
  11. My snow stick only goes up to 24” so after that I’m not sure how to measure for you guys.
  12. I'm all in. Bet the house, the car and the dogs on this one. Send me to the poor house if this one doesn't hit.
  13. Another outrageous run. Trying to stay calm.
  14. Going to wake up early to see my 3" of cement before it melts.
  15. This is 24 hr storm totals for this storm on GFS valid 18z Saturday. Keep in mind it’s still snowing in Northern Indiana and Michigan so add at least a couple more inches there. Edit: Northern Indiana*
  16. Agree. I think we’ve seen the extremes of how far east and west this thing can go in the Euro and GFS today. Hoping for a spread the wealth big dog in the Great Lakes which is still very much in the table.
  17. That was one of the more interesting Euro runs. Somehow I still get like a foot of snow.
  18. As the track shifts NW I’m putting all my eggs into the basket of wave one. Could manage 3”-6” and hope the rain doesn’t melt all of it away. Would make for a slushy commute. Seems like the 2nd wave will be relatively minimal this far east.
  19. Lol we all stopped posting in the Tuesday storm thread to come here.
  20. I can’t remember the last time I’ve seen the GFS max out snow totals in the Midwest like that.
  21. 3.5" by Tuesday morning... completely melting by Tuesday evening followed by 2.2".
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