Eskimo Joe

Double that and we're talking. My minimum rainfall is 7" in under 12 hours.

Everything you need to know a bout garlic:

Updated long term LWX AFD:

A west trend is good for us.

Agreed. I started in meteorology but transferred to Geography and then went through the MS, Emergency Management program at Millersville. It's lead to a decent career. Big message is that you have to be comfortable with moving a fair distance for your first job. You might have to move cross country for a 'meh' position to put your time in. If you're going to stick with meteorology that's great...seriously the field isn't all doom and gloom like some make it out to be. You just have to find what keeps your interest going and push through hard. Take internships, do research and don't forget about working started help desk positions for things like Raytheon (they make AWIPS) or Michael Baker. My RA in college started in the private sector and it boosted his career quickly once he got into NWS.

As of now, Monday afternoon through Wednesday midday is our best shot for a soaker before this thing heads offshore:

Looks like a classic heavy rain threat for anyone in CTP, PHI or BGM service area. Probably going to see some spot hit 7"+ of rain over the course of next week. Even with the recent dry spell that will cause flooding concerns.

The trend with the Euro is to hold the heavy rain (4"+ into PA, NJ and NY). I fully expect the GFS and other guidance to trend that way.

We are overloaded with cucumbers and shortly will be with tomatoes. Our garlic was phenomenal once again with over a 95% success rate and 78 heads of garlic harvested. We are going to dry the garlic and will have a fresh stock for the winter. Our Long Island Cheese pumpkins are also doing well.

If we get a weak to moderate west based El Nino we'll at least have the ingredients in place. That's half the battle in these parts. There's nothing worse than wasting 2/3rds of our prime weeks in December and January with nothing but day 15 threats go poof as they draw closer.

A setup like what is progged on the global guidance would favor the coastal plain and eastern slopes of the mountains. There would likely be a minimum somewhere around I-95 and it's important to note that not everyone would get widespread 5"+.

Correct. My benchmark for a non-tropical flood setup.

June 2006 showing up on the CIPS Analogs for this weekend/next week.

How do you place the soap? In a pantry hose or something?

Hope it rains today...we really need it.

I'm psyched big time about this winter. We're gonna get two nice Miller A storms in January and a nice December cold wave.

Outside of that warm week in July this summer has been cold. Wonder if it's a sign of a cold winter coming.

This weather sucks. Where is the 95 and humid?

My experience is that we blow by guidance on the last 2 or 3 days of heat waves in these parts. It's almost like a diesel engine, slow to start but hard to stop.

Looks like an outflow boundary coming your way...probably will kick off some additional popcorn thunderstorms.

I have a sneaking suspicion that we'll see some outflow boundary drift south from PA after dark and set some storms off.

Terrain is the kicker. Once the storms drift off the ridge they seem to die pretty quickly.

Beets and radish are good fall crops. Collard greens are good too.

Sitting in Reisterstown watching the cell near 695 and 795 going up. Decent amount of low thunder in the distance.

I hope DCA and BWI stay warm overnight and don't drop below 80°. The worst is when a shower pops up at 10pm and douses a site.