Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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It's closing pretty quickly.
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We are looking somewhat colder and 925/850 than I thought. Combine that with this being at night and some drier air to help us wetbulb more efficiently and tonight could be a quick 1" - 3" for some.
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00z RAOB from IAD supports snow. Good to see.
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Looks like the DC snowhole is starting to close. Some returns over Montgomery County and you can hear the planes approaching Dulles so the ceilings are coming down.
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Winter Storm Watches out for Mason/Dixon (Frederick, Carroll, Northern Baltimore/Harford) from 4pm Monday to 10am Tuesday
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18z NAM is a respectable event north of a DC to Annapolis line, IMO. Wouldnt shock me to see jackpotvilke jackpot is the NAM were right.
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Was filtered sun since about 10am bit since 2ish it's been solid clouds. Looks like some virga overhead as well.
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First returns on LWX radar showing up just west of the I-81 corridor.
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Mid level clouds thickening up nicely. Classic warm air advection.
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The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just move to the Catoctins and you'll be a million times better. -
What a waste.
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Dont worry, the NAO will go negative just in time to ruin spring.
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^It's also the weakest with the Midwest low.
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The implementation has been delayed.
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Not sure if this has been posted somewhere else:
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The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
When you see a rapid swing like that, it's usually influenced by a sizeable storm. -
The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yup. When I lived in PA it was even more impressive. You leave Gaithersburg and it's 33 or 34 with white rain...Mt. Airy is 32 with dicey roads, Westminster City was okay, then up Rt. 27 through Lineboro things just went to poo. By the time you cross into the PA it's 28 with a whiteout. -
75° at CHO...terrible winter no other way to put it
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The Mystical Month of February--Long Range Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
90% of the time you seem to get double what DCA gets. -
These are looking pretty solid...much better than the BS from the TV mets in DC and Baltimore.
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M2.5" Reisterstown
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I70 naso good at US40.
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Classic LaNina (kidding of course)...we nickle and dime to climo. Wish we could get a cold flush 10" - 15" weekend event from RIC to NYC but that doesn't appear to be in the cards this winter.
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Some of that is from orographic enhancement over the mts...so you'll see a bit of a decrease in the intensity but it should hold together. HRRR has been pretty bad with this event so I'm not sure why people are taking it for gospel. This is a total nowcast event. Look like the back end is working southeast from Somerset/Bedford, PA which would put it rolling through the I-95 corridor around nightfall.
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Per the SHA cams, it's nothing but big pillows on US 15 from Thurmont to the PA Line.
