Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Congrats @usedtobe!
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Interesting - is the Euro always late for NBM?
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Appreciate the response. I'm in the same mindset as you.
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If/when we get shut out with this upcoming pattern, would you chalk it up to bad luck, or something more serious like a fundamental shift in the base state?
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12z Euro-AI bumped up snow probs for I-95 east. Now 40% - 50% of 1"+ on Sunday.
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Copy that. Appreciate the context.
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Thank you both. I really appreciate the explanation!
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Not great to see that trough build in so quickly over Alaska?
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The EPS has a mean high in the single digits across the entire region towards the end of January. Wow.
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Apologies, the development of the mid level trough appears to be NW of 06z.
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Through HR 42, the NAM appears NW.
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Look at this guy with all the egghead language.
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Euro continues to open the freezer in the long range. Man just give us some snow covered ground and it'll be a cold shot to remember.
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Euro has a decent vort max over Minnesota, the GFS does not. Seems to interfere with the coastal low.
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Clear west trend on the Canadian
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Looks like the 12z UKMET was better for northern areas?
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Yes. That's excellent. Looks like light snow back to the I-81 corridor on the mean.
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UKMET did too?
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The Reno upper air site sampled a record western ridge at 591dm. That ob was in place for the 12z model suite, and voila...everything tucks closer to the coast. Do not underestimate the importance of upper air data beyond HR90.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
IMO, if the 12z suite tomorrow has this or better, then we are likely onto something. -
