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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, Nina has really been ruling the Roost. If blocking can hold strong enough we should get some low road systems. Agree on PNA as well. That would put the icing on the Cake. Seems it's like pulling teeth to get a -NAO +PNA Combo anymore. A big worry too is once the cold settles in ,we go bone dry. I remember the super cold Christmas '83 out break doing just that. Not a single flake ! A High of zero that day in Pennington gap with bare ground. Unreal ! Get this, 2 days later a southern Ms Valley System moves in starts as Snow, coats the ground with a heavy dusting and then suddenly turns to Rain. Storm cut west.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, was just looking at that. Man , if that comes to fruition, white Christmas would be likely with locked in cold .
  3. Daniel Boone
    If it weren't for the Nina, with the strong HLB we'd already be in business Winter weather wise. Hopefully the SST'S in the western PAC will become more conducive for better and stronger MJO progression in cold Phases as we move forward this Winter.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, looks potent enough for light accs up and down the Apps.
  5. Daniel Boone
    True.
  6. Daniel Boone
    yeah. we have a difference maker this time that hopefully will project that further east. Gfs is terrible with upstream blocking.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Even though im not in the SE area, thats some interesting stuff Larry and still relates to our adjacent areas.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Agree. I'm feeling pretty confident. We've been burned so many times it's tough to be though.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the block may be the difference maker here, depending on how deep the trough is out west, however. If there's a deep trough still out there it could cause the boundary to be more ene oriented and cause frozen precip to be relegated to our north and west. Hopefully, we get a west, east boundary and the entire forum cashes in . IF there is an ene orientation, hopefully it'll be far enough south to still get the area in the frozen zone. I've witnessed that on several occasions.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Cosgrove is honking for a major snowstorm just before Christmas for the Apps to Ohio Valley. As some know on here, Coz has been in the business many years and is an expert in LR and Pattern recognition. He, imo, is an ef hutton of Meteorology.
  11. Daniel Boone
    It's acting as if ur not signed in then.
  12. Daniel Boone
    GFS just spits out any solution there is under the Sun from run to run. "Upgrade"? More like, Downgrade.
  13. Daniel Boone
    It was.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Its become complete utter junk, imo. It just shows any possible outcome run to run.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, should be at least a couple synoptic snow events the last half of the Month along with upslope events as well if the projected 500 pattern comes to fruition.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the latest "upgrade" appears to really fouled some things up. For one, they over compensated for it's " cold bias". Apparently didn't do anything irt how it doesn't work well with blocking. Other things they've tampered with appear to be evident as well.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, enso is heavily weighted by them.
  18. Daniel Boone
    You got that right Buddy. Looks promising for much of the area having a white Christmas actually.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I remember that being the case. We were fortunate up this way. Wise in Wise County broke the State Seasonal Record that year; 123.4 inches ! I recorded 52" in Pennington gap here in Lee County ( not a record here ) . The 60's was a snowy decade for the area. Nina, Nino, -PDO, -PNA, it didn't matter, lol
  20. Daniel Boone
    That is actually a probable solution with strong blocking. Even a further South track is possible but, most likely not this go around. It would be nice to finally get into a 95-95 type pattern. Several Miller B transfers of which tracked far to the South.
  21. Daniel Boone
    A little confidence builder; the 1960's featured several -PDO, -PNA, -NAO combo Winter's and they weren't too shabby Snowfall wise.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, hopefully the deep cold will come far enough east to get us on the cold side of the boundary.
  23. Daniel Boone
    IF the projected Pattern pans out, the CMC would be the winner at range irt the Operationals. It has constantly projected the very cold Pattern.
  24. Daniel Boone
    It's really a shame the anticipated blocking hasn't threw the Nina off kilter much. So far, about all it's done is help with the moisture transport into our area. It is possible had the Blocking not setup we'd be dry and warm with a huge SE Ridge dominating.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, sure looking more and more like a Plains/ Rockies Winter. It may translate East to encompass areas similar to last Winter and year before.
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