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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. It's really puzzling they haven't. It's as if they've not looked at the Model's since the GFS showed the lower totals there. The NBM has heaviest there. Could be understaffed today or subs filling in . Alot if sickness going around.
  2. Good points John. I know the Nam and HRRR have a warm bias here. Remember 21-'22 Winter my seasonal was 29.7". If the HRRR had been right it would of been less than 10 !
  3. If this thing turns out as modeled now, a big win for the Icon irt Medium range Models.
  4. Yeah, makes sense. Glad you thought of it. Good catch man.
  5. We do know each occurrence is ingested into the Model's. So, 3 Year's of Nina's.. probably so .
  6. That pretty much shows the print of the higher ratio cold not getting across the Plateau. Even if same amount of QPF falls aa snow there's of course less accs east of Plateau. Hopefully the colder air makes it in over.
  7. Yeah, this could turn out to gain it some respect if ir were to be right.
  8. They've told me before that they use the NBM Output.
  9. Apparently, KMRX Evening Shift buys the 12z Euro Outlook. Say's only lt wintry precip expected Monday and Tuesday.
  10. The lower Snow Totals in the Valley are quite possibly due to the average difference in occurences ingested into the Model's. I.e,. say, Kingsport got 1 inch the last 3 Snowfalls while Knoxville got 2 , the Models over time will show Knoxville getting more in their output. Of course, if any wind is forecast, downsloping will be as well. The City to City Avgs may well be factored in now . That I don't know.
  11. Same goes for here John. They listed Pennington gap with just 8 inches for the Jan. '96 Storm. I lived in downtown Pennington then and measured 13 inches while parts of the corporate limits had up to 16" and elevated areas of the County 18-24" with more mountain tops. The Feb. Storm produced 10" in downtown Pennington gap. I think that one is missing in the " official" Records along with several other Snowfalls that Winter. I totalled 52" in downtown Pennington for the Season.
  12. Not surprising, really. We get several cutter's in a row and finally get everything to suppress south enough and then all storms have exhausted. Figures. Not saying that'll be the case but, wouldn't be surprised.
  13. Yeah, definitely. It was way under on QPF with this last System throughout the area.
  14. Model's have ingested data from previous similar situations. Could be those occurences produced more in that area, ie., Christmas 2020. That would reflect from the Model's output.
  15. A light dusting here. All the bands missed here last night so just a couple snshwrs and flurries.
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