The Iceman

Looks like a deform band through the heart of bucks/montco/chester/Delaware counties and another by the shore. In between there will likely be a subsidence(sp) zone that sees less accumulations. You can see that hinted here. Massive move towards the gfs though, game on!

Don’t play dumb, you posted a snow map earlier for a storm that is synoptically different but it was a coastal scraper so you insisted it makes it an analog. I asked for the 500 mb comparison and you went silent so that right there tells me you know what you’re doing, you know just enough to be dangerous, but it doesn’t change the fact you are always on the side of less snow no matter what.

Where has anyone posted that 8-14” for Philly/burbs being unreasonable? Don’t be salty because you got called out on your debbing

I literally hope everyone except you sees snow.

Lol lmao even. You posted this on Feb.11 “If the detail about the cold source being minimal is true, especially after the cold streak that just happened, then the winter is just about over. The beginning of March is going to really torch, and by the time we get below average temperatures again (if we even do), it will be too late for snow.“

Sweet show the 500 mb set up, I can show a million fucking coastal storms, doesn’t mean they are anything similar.

Looks nothing like it

I think mt holly is spot on, 10 to 16” in SE PA seems right. 16-24” in Jersey with largest totals towards the coast.

Winter storm warning for 10-16” in my backyard, can’t wait to see the map in the morning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 PAZ070-071-101>106-212100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1100Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.260222T1200Z-260223T2300Z/ Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Doylestown, Morrisville, Kennett Square, Pottstown, West Chester, Oxford, Norristown, Media, Philadelphia, Collegeville, Chalfont, Perkasie, Lansdale, and Honey Brook 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 10 and 16 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...A portion of southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 2 inches per hour. Locally higher snowfall amounts possible. Blowing and drifting of snow, and whiteout conditions possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$

6z nam seems ok to me but I also just woke up to pee Image

Go to bed Ralph lol

That’s awesome, no sun angle to worry about, should get max ratios. Every good weenie has a snow light in their yard.

I’m out, I can handle a standard 4-8” storm, it’d be disappointing but still a win. A complete whiff like 01 though, I’d be done with this hobby for awhile…

What the fuck NAM did you look at?

King GFS is how. It was mocked all winter, this is its revenge

Image Final total;

Motherofgod.jpeg

clear trend…

How’s 70+ the first week of march looking? Asking for a friend.

Sunday afternoon into Monday

I thought DT said no storm, what changed?

wrong per usual.

Latest NBM

Short answer, it’s closed off 500 MB low in about as perfect a spot as you want.

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