NeonPeon

Really, because I think the sentiment you are expressing has been expressed every other storm on here. The uncertainty of the forecast is amplified by the weenies on the edges who are tracking every vacillation to the point of insanity, laughing, I might add, at more steady and conservative approaches by the likes of box, for not hoisting em, raising em, and, presumably, jerking them knees. The thing here is all the normal evolution of the storm uncertainties, track, etc. are even more amplified by the liminal temps. I'm fascinated to see how it pans out. I think this will be increasingly how I have to appreciate winter weather given my location and, well, you know.

Looks good to me. Oh no, I'll miss out on the rain.

This is going to be one where we get "puking" posts and then also people just actually puking.

The banding in this storm is going to be hilarious, with wild haves and have nots in the areas riding the line.

Good lord don't remind me. One of the most brutal storms ever. I could travel literally 2 miles in any direction and watch the snow double, then double again. Newport is special.

It's almost fun being on the outside of this one. I'm not stressed at all. Will I get rain, or rain. What temperature will the rain be? It doesn't engender much of an emotional reaction. I'm not hanging my hat on one solution, I'm not staying up for the next model. Hang on a second, I mispoke, did I say almost fun, I meant painfully unrewarding.

Narragansett bay snow hole modeled correctly; lock it in.

When people talk about giving up, they are still going to watch this thread and check, if only to say see, I'm still screwed and will continue to be screwed. This is it. What else are rainy folks going to do? Contemplate the futility of existence? Look into the void that exists in every mirror? Nah. Model runs. Even crap ones. Thats all there is. Nihilism is climo for the coastal plain, let alone this snow forsaken bay. But huge storms like this sometimes thread the needle. They need to be huge, hit perfect and hit right though in March. This one probably won't. Doesn't mean I won't watch. It's still not impossible, just very unlikely.

You do? It looks like what happens when a model is moving on to a new solution but can't make up its mind. It's a mess.

There needs to be people worried that this is out to sea for me to not be worried about rain. This has a lot of time to wiggle.

That stupid CCB offshore... When those are visible on radar it's the worst.

Congrats the two people that live in Hopkinton.

Slush and rain falls on the puddles of vomit on thames street for the parade. I think that's probably a perfect end to this "winter."

Anyone who is right on the coast will know that a whiff at this range in spring at least has a slight hope. Most everything else isnt likely to stay white anyway. The trend isn't friendly though, and would need to reverse.

Winds have been pretty unremarkable in Newport. Tellingly, with regard to the failure for any coastal to actually properly get going, the wind was significantly more at the arrival of precip than it was when the low passed and the wind turned. 20 sustained is very ho hum here.

Shattered dendrites and rain at the cliff walk in newport. Hope everyone gets a good event who can.

More accurately, there's no future yet? There's no when now?

Or, for many, this winter, bar one day.

Neighboring school district did online learning. Ours just has a snow day, and we took advantage of it with 2 hours of the most required curriculum ever: sledding. I'm all for more days of school. The school year should be 210 days long, not 180, but don't take the snow days away!

5" here in newport

The good thing is it's snowing. The bad is that I'm comfortably observing it outside in a hoody.

I can't imagine it successfully actually accumulating down here. Temps well above freezing, mediocre rates, and some of it midday? Then the switch to rain. It'll be a snow cone. Beats nothing, but keeps the sled in the basement. Just a couple footnotes coming for a winter that almost wasn't.

I will take my first measurable snow. We are heading into March and this is the first system ive even tracked. This winter hasn't existed.

This is unfortunately the reality of human behavior. The more defined a probabilistic forecast is, the more expectation there is of it. The NWS can say a million times that the center of the cone is not a track prediction, but people by and large cannot interpret probabilistic risk. We've never had things better in terms of lead time and prep, but as the forecast verifies more and more often, the more people will be angry about vacillations in increasingly less significant details of that forecast. Less significant in terms of public policy and risk management, not less significant in terms of their house.

Access will be an issue but per the person I know on pine right now, their images don't show anything like the devastation elsewhere. They benefited from missing the storm surge further south and then by the time the western eyewall passed through, it was weaker with the worst winds further north. The guy is an idiot for staying there, but from what I saw so far, if there's a lucky way to be bullseyed by a hurricane, then that's it. Much better than being on the northern end of the eye or in the storm surge peak.