NeonPeon
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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
NeonPeon replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
The instability is great to watch on radar. Mesolows galore out to sea as everything blossoms. -
OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
NeonPeon replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
Absolutely. It seems to be forming in the place they always form. It's the oddest thing! -
OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
NeonPeon replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
With this band coming in now wind has picked up. Occasional gusts to 30. Nothing crazy here yet but the first real noreaster feeling I've had in years. Snow is already blowing nicely. -
Good luck. I'm sticking with my understated 9" idea for lowly Newport. No doubt you'll do better. I buy the idea that we will just staying out of the good business from the east, and I have never not seen a death band to the west that is showing up in more detailed modeling. That's every storm I've seen with a classic track. I hope I'm wrong, because it would be good for everyone, but even if I make it to that amount, it'll blow my son's mind with the drifting and wind. I'm done now. At some point you have to look out the window, and now's the time for me. Hope it doesn't disappoint too many, and people actually get out in it!
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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
NeonPeon replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
Lovely preamble, this. -
I feel like every storm we talk about how unusual it is that there's disagreement. I think there is just a phenomena where the more specific the expected result seems to become defined, the more variance there appears to be. We have far more consensus now than yesterday, and so on. It's most sensible for those on the edges, as always.
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Shoot for the stars. If you fail, you'll still... post frothing rage, righteously indignant at the injustice of it all! I forgot how the phrase goes. I've been thinking 9 inches in my back yard for days. That'd be top 5 in my time here. I know that wouldn't raise an eyebrow elsewhere. Any more is gravy. I know plenty of guidance shows more. Once bitten, twice shy.
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The banding features are there in every storm. First I track whether the storm is actually coming. Once there is consensus on that I turn to the question of how it's going to screw me. This one is going to screw me in a fairly unoriginal way, it looks like. But, it's so enormous I'll still end up with plowable.