NeonPeon

It's the hope that kills you. That would be a half foot of paste imby and it ain't happening.

Is Lee still ingesting dry air? It still seems intent on trying to make a small eye, within a much larger circulation, but it can't do that or close the enormous eye wall either. The outflow looks fantastic, and it doesn't look that dry on the water vapor but it can't seem to fix the banding.

Tweetiorologists.

Well, because it isn't anymore, just like it was a cat 3 when it was a cat 1. It doesn't really much matter at this point does it?

The structure of this hurricane always looked precocious. It had better outflow as a tropical storm than some hurricanes, and it always had symmetry as a whole, even if it hadn't developed symmetry at its center. Sure, part of it was that it's far away so the noted strength of the storm lagged behind the observable reality, but even so, it seemed to have zero growing pains at all. It went through the gears and skipped some. Usually it's structural organization that slows ri down, then once that is sorted, it takes off. This thing was cooking with gas immediately. The way that it put up towers and wrapped around from spiral to donut in hours was ludicrous.

There's still time to plant something in that green desert of yours. A tree perhaps? Anything?

I think that map looks perfect for this winter. At least imby. You can trim as needed from there.

It looks to me like this band will be the most of it. 8" for this season. A few garbage slush events, the best event 5 inches. Mild temperatures galore for weeks on end, indistinguishable from spring here. This is a winter that basically wasn't. The third worst season on record, behind 94' and 97'. It was like winter when I was a kid...in Newcastle, England. Screw this winter.

Finally flipping in Newport.

The general public can't be trusted with these maps, not like the reasonable, cautious folks on here, who know never to get carried away, or emotionally invested.

I thought at the least this would be one of the inumerable times I'd be on the rainy side of a nor'easter. On the outside looking in. This just doesn't really feel like one though. Particularly the winds. Even right at the bay... 15 mph, not even gusting to 30. Really unremarkable. I see winds are increasing, but still.

More than 3 times as much as me.

Unfortunately for the ski resorts there of late, so does most of sne.

Funktop scheduling?

It is odd how there's no clear idea even within the scatter plot.

Really, because I think the sentiment you are expressing has been expressed every other storm on here. The uncertainty of the forecast is amplified by the weenies on the edges who are tracking every vacillation to the point of insanity, laughing, I might add, at more steady and conservative approaches by the likes of box, for not hoisting em, raising em, and, presumably, jerking them knees. The thing here is all the normal evolution of the storm uncertainties, track, etc. are even more amplified by the liminal temps. I'm fascinated to see how it pans out. I think this will be increasingly how I have to appreciate winter weather given my location and, well, you know.

Looks good to me. Oh no, I'll miss out on the rain.

This is going to be one where we get "puking" posts and then also people just actually puking.

The banding in this storm is going to be hilarious, with wild haves and have nots in the areas riding the line.

Good lord don't remind me. One of the most brutal storms ever. I could travel literally 2 miles in any direction and watch the snow double, then double again. Newport is special.

It's almost fun being on the outside of this one. I'm not stressed at all. Will I get rain, or rain. What temperature will the rain be? It doesn't engender much of an emotional reaction. I'm not hanging my hat on one solution, I'm not staying up for the next model. Hang on a second, I mispoke, did I say almost fun, I meant painfully unrewarding.

Narragansett bay snow hole modeled correctly; lock it in.

When people talk about giving up, they are still going to watch this thread and check, if only to say see, I'm still screwed and will continue to be screwed. This is it. What else are rainy folks going to do? Contemplate the futility of existence? Look into the void that exists in every mirror? Nah. Model runs. Even crap ones. Thats all there is. Nihilism is climo for the coastal plain, let alone this snow forsaken bay. But huge storms like this sometimes thread the needle. They need to be huge, hit perfect and hit right though in March. This one probably won't. Doesn't mean I won't watch. It's still not impossible, just very unlikely.

You do? It looks like what happens when a model is moving on to a new solution but can't make up its mind. It's a mess.

There needs to be people worried that this is out to sea for me to not be worried about rain. This has a lot of time to wiggle.