Ok man, it's going to be epic. I'm in the eyewall now.
I take it all back. The rain is literally splattering me as I write this from my porch. I'll begin chaining myself to the deck chair, it's quite breezy.
Well, it's a rapidly deteriorating core and a halfacane.
It looks to me that since it's moving nw, we will get a piece of the core for a short time, and then be in drier air with some wind.
I suppose I should define what I mean by "largely miss."
It's become a fetching little halfacane. I expect some strong gusts, but not tons of rain here.
The way that thing is funneling into jersey right now is crazy. It's like a mega trowel.
This is the only chance it has, right now. It's shed a lot of that se convection and has decent structure over hot water. I don't see how it doesn't gain a little strength, but just a little.
I have a substation near my house. It is out of the 1960s. That's not an exaggeration. That's when it was built. It uses an entire house lot.
My parents have the exact same load of substation in the UK. It is smaller than a garden shed and is an enclosed box.
It's worth the money for every place, everywhere you go to not look slovenly and temporary. This is one of those things that if you didnt grow up and just become accustomed to it, is utterly unfathomable.
Maybe one of these centuries the usa will behave like it's not a colonial outpost and begin burying power lines.
Itll make everywhere look much more attractive too. I wouldn't tolerate such shitty cable management inside my computer, or behind my tv, but the usa does worse on a national scale. It's absolutely repugnant.
It hasn't significantly changed, there's been no attempt for the deeper convection to begin wrapping around at all. We need a big tower or two to go up and do that work.
The only wrinkle in this is how RI has happened with way more frequency of late due to "abnormally" high water temperatures.
It has a lot of work to do before it can get to a point where it could really explode, and it doesn't have much time to do it. I don't see it happening.
They'll likely patrol a couple spots, all of salve's campus ones, for sure.
Seaview ave access is a pretty sure bet though if the others are closed off.
That road is often closed in bad weather, as is the road at first beach, both flood quite easily. I'd look elsewhere, perhaps somewhere a little less fashionable along the cliffwalk? They'll close ocean drive to local traffic only as well.
I'm hoping to avoid a tree falling on my house. Hoping the winds are unremarkable at the surface and it peters. With current thinking on track, it seems Newport would be spared the worst of the rain but so much more watching before we have a great sense of where this is going.
The trees here are pretty well conditioned for wind, but it could easily be an odd wind direction for here.