NeonPeon

More accurately, there's no future yet? There's no when now?

Or, for many, this winter, bar one day.

Neighboring school district did online learning. Ours just has a snow day, and we took advantage of it with 2 hours of the most required curriculum ever: sledding. I'm all for more days of school. The school year should be 210 days long, not 180, but don't take the snow days away!

5" here in newport

The good thing is it's snowing. The bad is that I'm comfortably observing it outside in a hoody.

I can't imagine it successfully actually accumulating down here. Temps well above freezing, mediocre rates, and some of it midday? Then the switch to rain. It'll be a snow cone. Beats nothing, but keeps the sled in the basement. Just a couple footnotes coming for a winter that almost wasn't.

I will take my first measurable snow. We are heading into March and this is the first system ive even tracked. This winter hasn't existed.

This is unfortunately the reality of human behavior. The more defined a probabilistic forecast is, the more expectation there is of it. The NWS can say a million times that the center of the cone is not a track prediction, but people by and large cannot interpret probabilistic risk. We've never had things better in terms of lead time and prep, but as the forecast verifies more and more often, the more people will be angry about vacillations in increasingly less significant details of that forecast. Less significant in terms of public policy and risk management, not less significant in terms of their house.

Access will be an issue but per the person I know on pine right now, their images don't show anything like the devastation elsewhere. They benefited from missing the storm surge further south and then by the time the western eyewall passed through, it was weaker with the worst winds further north. The guy is an idiot for staying there, but from what I saw so far, if there's a lucky way to be bullseyed by a hurricane, then that's it. Much better than being on the northern end of the eye or in the storm surge peak.

I know someone on pine island, lives right on a canal. No idea why they are there still, setting up a Skylink in the eye. Not too bad so far, so they say, but that's because they are on the north end of the island and the surge is not on for them yet.

Some much needed rain here anyway. I'm not sure I'll ever top my twister sighting, it's all downhill from here.

Sure can. This was in between orient point and new London on the cross sound ferry.

I'd be happy to.

Waterspout video Kindly ignore my weather fangirling.

I just saw a hook echo then watched a waterspout form from the cross sound ferry. Took some video.

Coating here. This weather today conspired to be as god awful as possible for the exact timing of the parade. Washed the early vomit off the sidewalks. Now the rest can freeze. Going to have a wintery drive up to providence.

Ill never buy into a relatively minor event producing much of anything right on the coast in liminal temps. Can't get screwed if you don't expect anything. I went on a nice long walk in a rain jacket. If winter didn't want to say goodbye nicely, it can choose the good riddance strategy.

It's snowing now, which for all sensible effects is trivia. But, not for me. An opportunity to say goodbye to winter.

This isn't even good mood snow down here so far. I wasn't expecting it to stick, but it's mostly rain.

Anyone know how NW CT is getting on? Anyone near Cornwall?

Woke up to pingers at 4am and knew that it was what we thought it was. Now my kids daycare is cancelled and we get to enjoy what will be a rain day. I understand why they did it due to staff driving from north, but there's nothing enjoyable about cold rain. Heavy sleet should give way to rain any moment.

Population distribution.

Why would aggregating a bias resolve it? You compared the various opinions on this board to ensembles. They aren't. They aren't even different models. Some of us are just grunting.

I don't know how a watch can be ridiculous, but I've been certain that we're looking at a mainly rain, couple inches of slush at best thing. Honestly, the blizzard actually being a blizzard here shook my confidence in pessimism at all times, which was a welcome experience. But it has its limits. The cold don't hold in the bay.

Nonsense, this forum has a noted weenie bias.