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Everything posted by dwagner88
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sadly, I think MRX will go with WSW for the entire CWA except Hamilton, Bradley, and Polk Counties. I think this one is going to be quite painful for SE TN snow lovers to watch. Likely to be the only area in the state shut out. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
An impossible forecast for here. Nothing at all in my corner of the county. 4" in the northern portions of Hamilton. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Take some comfort in the knowledge that this has got to be the least likely eventual outcome based on past history. -
Pretty good dusting on Signal this morning. I had some sleet pellets in the valley of my roof. But I did get up to see the first flakes of the season fall. They are very late this year.
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Tons of flooding this morning. We may crack 4" from this system. I can't believe we don't even have a flood advisory out. It's borderline FFW conditions here.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
dwagner88 replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I can't remember if it was the Feb storm or the big Jan 96 blizzard, but one of those storms gave us almost 6" of sleet down here. It was like a marble countertop everywhere. Absurd sledding. MRX is missing KCHA ASOS data from that winter, so I can't look up when it actually happened.- 1,263 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hwy 111 between Soddy Daisy and Dunlap will be a good spot this weekend. It gets up to around 2300' and is all controlled access freeway. There are a few spots along the ridgetops that always seem to have snow showers when the wind is blowing the right direction, even if they don't show up on radar. -
December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Jeez. We cleared over 2" with this system. It rained HARD yesterday. Sorry NE guys missed out.- 548 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Early January 2011 overrunning event. Only time in my life there was a stress free snow. Zero modeling had us getting missed, and temps were in the low 20's when it started. The models had that one keyed in from 7 days out. Even the superstorm was in doubt by many. February 2015 was close to stress free, but not as certain via modeling.- 548 replies
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December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seems like there is one every year around that time. We've had many years in the past with either winter threats, flooding, or severe weather.- 548 replies
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Overperformed this rain event also. 2.36” in the bucket since Friday morning. Nearly 5” in the past 10 days. That’s awesome. Maybe El Niño is finally reverting to type.
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I even managed 19 down here yesterday. That's odd for TYS.
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We actually overperformed this rain event. 1.80" IMBY. KCHA really cashed in with 2.60". We needed that.
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Heavy rain! Finally! First time since August 28th!
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That's good because today's threat is evaporating quickly.
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I don't even care about cold/snow at this point. I just want rain.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
dwagner88 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is good. I no longer need to get twice my average annual snowfall to see a warning. -
0.05" here over the last 2-3 days. Didn't even knock the dust down.
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Dryness is easily at 2016 levels here. No surface water remains in any ponds near my house. They are totally dry. Not sure how the wildlife is coping with it. Even larger creeks/streams have very little flow remaining. I had 5.23" of rain in August, none at all in September, and only 0.54" in October. 7 Day WPC is also bone dry. Yikes.
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38 this morning. I didn't get up early enough to see if there was any frost, but I doubt it. There was a slight breeze.
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0.16" in the gauge yesterday brings my rainless streak to a close. The last measurable rain I had before that was 8/28.
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No measureable rain this month IMBY. I think that may have happened in the 2016 drought, but at a minimum I have tied my driest ever month.
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97 over 78. Heat Index 115. I'm coming to John's house.
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My PWS is 90.5 over 78.5 DP right now. Running way ahead of this time yesterday. HI calculates at 106. It's going to crack 110 at this rate.
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Yeah it seems very unlikely that we hit 100 here. So far my warmest day has been 92 with this heat wave. I actually hit 95 back at the end of July with an 80 degree DP. That was the hottest day of the year so far. Calculated HI of 115. I'm sure my PWS was exaggerating the DP, but that was a brutal day. The DP's have been lower with this round of heat.
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