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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    1982-83 was an east-based super El Niño and we had the megalopolis blizzard. That said, I do agree with you that if we do go super, which is looking increasingly likely, it’s going to be a mild winter
  2. snowman19
    The SOI has crashed to strong negative. -33 today. The 30 day average is now negative
  3. snowman19
    These are the mechanisms causing the record-breaking WWB and accelerating El Niño development:
  4. snowman19
    These projected zonal westerly wind anomalies are completely off the charts…..
  5. snowman19
    The models did a really great job at long lead times predicting the major TC’s……
  6. snowman19
  7. snowman19
    Yes, just saw the 30 day -SOI update. You were right about the subsurface warmth last week. The only year anywhere close to this one is 1997 and we have that beat
  8. snowman19
    @Bluewave
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  15. snowman19
    @StormchaserChuck1 Here comes the -SOI….
  16. snowman19
    Ok Patrick Star lmfaooooo
  17. snowman19
    This is indicative of a very well coupled (ocean-atmosphere) El Niño and Bjerknes feedback taking control:
  18. snowman19
  19. snowman19
    We are about to leave 1997 in the dust…
  20. snowman19
    From DT: **ALERT ** SUPER EL NINO LIKELY JULY 2026- MARCH 2027 COULD be strongest EVER !
  21. snowman19
    Wow….
  22. snowman19
    You remind me of Patrick Star from SpongeBob SquarePants
  23. snowman19
    Verbatim, showing a very strong +IOD developing, along with a continued ++PMM…
  24. snowman19
    This is starting to look like the “perfect storm” for causing a Bjerknes feedback loop/coupling to develop, which would cause this El Niño to become self-sustaining and self-reinforcing. We have the current record WWB/DWKW, coupled with the projected high amp, strong MJO wave propagating into the Pacific also supporting westerlies in the ENSO regions, a very strong +PMM, a developing +IOD and the “triplet” TC’s/typhoons in the PAC (causing another massive WWB/DWKW behind them)….
  25. snowman19
    For the first time in a long time, a high amp, strong MJO wave is projected to move into phases 7 and 8 come mid-month
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