snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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I don’t believe any “east trend” in the GEFS. Every storm this year so far has trended west and north as we get within a day or 2 of it, every one, there is no reason to believe it….we don’t have a block in place to force the track off shore
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I knew you had to comment. As soon as I posted I knew the alarms sounded in your basement. I think you have a crush. Lol I love how I live in your head rent free lol
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It’s like when people say “there’s deep snowpack, a low won’t travel over it, it’s going to be forced east, or south” If you get a shortwave to amp enough the low will plow right over 3 feet of snow, it doesn’t care about snow and ice pack at the surface….
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Jim is good, however, that is not a true -NAO block. That is a pop up thumb ridge, if it really even sets up that way
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I was just about to post that lol Even if this thing was to play out as the op Euro just depicted, that would be a heavy front end dump to rain to dry slot. What you definitely don’t want is for it to cut any further west than what it just did
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If that massive -EPO ridge is real, looks like we see a -PNA, +AO, +NAO pattern to go along with it by early February. Assuming that’s correct, it would definitely keep the cold around
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Ditto for the ICON and Euro. It’s the GFS vs the world. The CMC is in the UKMET camp too
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That’s not a doomsday post. I just said we are in a very favorable snowstorm pattern before then. There is a window. You don’t like if anyone mentions that there may be a time frame with a beginning and end to a good pattern
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We may have to wait until after 1/18 for something. The pattern will still be favorable at that point through about 1/25. I think after 1/25 things may become hostile with a +NAO and a tanking -PNA…..
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Let’s hope we can score something before 1/25, because the PNA is going to tank big time again. I think we do score something
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The 1/15 - 1/25 period is definitely legit. Big potential for sure. After 1/25 I think RNA takes over again
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The models are still insistent on IO convection firing at the end of the month. Guess we’ll have to wait and see if forcing really does move there or not…..
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Thank you to you and everyone else. It was my Aunt, cancer, she had been fighting it for the last 17+ years, she first got diagnosed back in 2004, she finally lost her battle. At least she’s at peace now. Just an ugly, horrible disease. My hope is that one day they find a cure….
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I was at a funeral yesterday when it was snowing that’s why I wasn’t posting during the storm. But thanks for asking. Troll
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The EPS is literally all over the map for next weekend, there is no clear trend on it at all to say the least lol
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Rockland was a disgrace. There is no way the DPW crews did not know it was coming. It was advertised 24 hours before and a WWA was posted. They should have been on the roads salting everything before it even started, instead they went out after it was already a disaster and played catch up. There were accidents galore that morning
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The operational GFS at day 12….that model can’t figure out what’s going to happen 12 hours from now let alone 12 days….
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For Rockland: November: 0 snow, December, way above average temps and 0.5 total snow! Absolutely superb cold and snowy forecast lol
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The real fail was the cold and snowy late November and December forecasts, that was an epic bust. I didn’t know there was a test for January, but February sure is not looking too good as of right now and there is a lot to back that up and growing…..
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The big test will be the tail end of this month and February….there are growing signs that the current pattern is going to flip in a big way as we enter February:
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The end of January is the transition time period (convection firing in the Indian Ocean) where there will likely be some kind of winter storm, be it snow, ice or a combination of the 2:
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It still has 2-4 NW of NYC, it dumps a deform band on LI
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It never coupled? ROTFLMAO!!!!
