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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    The bleeding stopped this run of the GFS. This time we have a 1 to 3 thump of snow before the flip. Low is a little SE of 12z. This run is close to what I am thinking. Time will tell how much of a thump before the changeover.
  2. EastonSN+
    Yup. The MA wants a higher PNA.
  3. EastonSN+
    Oh yeah I agree the PNA has to be -1SD or weaker.
  4. EastonSN+
    Big forum so half here can still snow well into March CPK can and has snowed into April multiple times. The 10th through 20th is not too late.
  5. EastonSN+
    Also check the Chuck posts I brought in here he knows his stuff.
  6. EastonSN+
    Can lead to suppression congrats M.A. RNA -1SD or weaker. A weak PNA also works.
  7. EastonSN+
    March 10-12 plus looks good.
  8. EastonSN+
    Anyone have EPS?
  9. EastonSN+
    Courtesy of Chuck.
  10. EastonSN+
    We will WANT a weak RNA with the -AO. Will be our best period.
  11. EastonSN+
    GEFS still a couple days behind the EPS. The good look starts the 12 here is the end of the run.
  12. EastonSN+
    I think what the EURO shows now can happen quick thump to rain. Our window doesn't start to the 10th.
  13. EastonSN+
    This storm is gravy. Our window is the 10th onwards. I still am leaning a couple inches to rain for this storm.
  14. EastonSN+
  15. EastonSN+
    Looks good 10 to 1 but I do not have the Kutchera
  16. EastonSN+
    Courtesy of Chuck.
  17. EastonSN+
    How does the GEFS look.
  18. EastonSN+
    Good to see the CMC. That being said CMC did move north. We need to stop the models suite from moving north every series. Still a lot of time. I still contend we have the most potential starting March 10.
  19. EastonSN+
    That's before we go cold around the 10th.
  20. EastonSN+
    THANKS!! Bridgeport is pathetic.
  21. EastonSN+
    Yeah definitely. The good news is this time it has not been delayed to date. GEFS was always a couple days later than the EPS. Likely resulting from the difference in timing of the MJO. I am 90% certain of a favorable window at this time. My question is the duration. 7 days. 10. Up in the air. Of course a favorable window does not guarantee that success olis realized.
  22. EastonSN+
    Still on track for approx the 10th. GEFS and GEPS are on board. GEFS is later and GEPS is sooner. Will post the EPS and it's in the middle timing wise.
  23. EastonSN+
    I would be happy with a good thump even if it transitions to rain.
  24. EastonSN+
    Lol I think this is the first storm in my life I am paying more attention to CPK snowfall than my own backyard.
  25. EastonSN+
    Yeah, snow goose or one of the METS may be able to opine on lift/intensity and banding.
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