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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Yeah don't get me wrong, we have a major signal for a KU event here. Hopefully it's the EURO doing it's over amped, keeping energy SW bias. Remember, Forky only comes out when a legit threat is on the table. Until he appears keep expectations in check.
  2. EastonSN+
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-like-once-in-a-generation-former-noaa-chief-scientist-puts-recent-west-coast-snowfalls-in-historical-context-4f77ea6f
  3. EastonSN+
    Very possible outcome unfortunately. We did not see a lot of these this century, however were much more numerous in the 80s.
  4. EastonSN+
    Now if we are going to get the lowest snowfall record THIS is how it has to go. South Carolina with more snow!
  5. EastonSN+
    Temperature (°F) Max Average Min Max Temperature 71 51.19 32 Avg Temperature 59.29 43.94 28.24 Min Temperature 49 36.68 20
  6. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don. I would imagine that it would be hard to top 01/02 as I believe that March was well above average for temps that year.
  7. EastonSN+
    IMO it's a 50/50 shot. I can easily see DC Baltimore and Philly getting an event and end up with more snow than CPK. Suppression will be the issue when the good pattern gets established March 10 onwards
  8. EastonSN+
    I need another 50 mile jog south for coastal CT
  9. EastonSN+
    This map gets me so mad!!
  10. EastonSN+
    I am starting to see signs of a slightly positive PNA out there in the LR. Good to see the MJO staying in 8 for both ensemble suites.
  11. EastonSN+
    Thank you!!
  12. EastonSN+
    GEFS never moved from the 10th. EPS and GEPS still the 8th. We may get several small storms, couple moderate or one Large, the op runs are more entertaining at this point. Yes, we can strike out again like December too snow is never a guarantee, however this looks like the best window all season. We shall see how it shakes out. IMO it comes down to the RNA. Too strong and the look fades.
  13. EastonSN+
    GFS GEFS is later with the good period compared to GEPS and EPS. Let's hope........
  14. EastonSN+
    Had to borrow from the MA forum. What a crazy year!
  15. EastonSN+
    What's wrong with the GFS? The GEFS was always a couple days behind and while not showing the same KU potential, still shows a couple snow events (op) as well as a good pattern (GEFS). So having the GFS/GEFS as a floor is great IMO.
  16. EastonSN+
    I find it fascinating to see the difference between Long Island and coastal CT on a lot of those.
  17. EastonSN+
    This is a good site for both operational and ensemble model runs. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn
  18. EastonSN+
    You are on the exact same page as I am. Favorable patterns do not guarantee snow. Would role the dice on the December look again.
  19. EastonSN+
    Two distinct threats on the GFS. The GEFS has generally been later than EPS and GEPS in timing - think it's showing up here.
  20. EastonSN+
    Exactly!
  21. EastonSN+
    GFS close too.
  22. EastonSN+
    I had 5.1. NYC only needs 0.7 to avoid futility
  23. EastonSN+
    We just had a snow storm. So maybe our luck has changed
  24. EastonSN+
  25. EastonSN+
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