EastonSN+

If the precipitation comes in overnight and is heavy enough then it probably could.

I would much rather have the same outcome as February 2018 which was far above average temperature wise and we still managed to get a moderate snow storm.

Odd to see JFK that far off than the rest of the list. Was December 2018 the last December that NYC averaged -2 for the month? Or the entire region -1.5?

That warmth is country wide as apposed to the last couple of years where we were dealing with a deep RNA. That being said ending at -2.1 for the month with that look is impressive.

NOT predicting this but mid January 2015 through that March would work ( I know extreme but speaking of time remaining) or even a month like March 2018 alone would get us close to average.

Agreed we have had a lack of clippers lately, hopefully they return like the coastal hugger did, which we thought was extinct from 2000 through 2018, ultimately returned. Unfortunately we have no idea how many years the pac will be uncooperative.

Yeah just like the last few years where Norfolk, Tennessee, the Delmarva (Ocean City Maryland) have see good snowstorms. We have had strong negative NAOs like the past month and years with not much to show. This is really a parallel of the 80s and early 90s.

Thanks, yeah my recollection is probably off. However, perhaps looking back at that time period can shed light on what is occuring now.

I don't know if the information is available, however the mid to late 80s and early 90s featured the dreaded cold/warm up ahead of storm and rain/cold for years. Was the fast Paced jet the same issue then or was another factor driving the bus? The information may not be around however may provide insight as to why this is happening and perhaps how long (was about 8 years before). I remember one storm in January 1993 I believe that was in the lower teens in the morning, received about 1 inch of slop and then 50s and heavy rain then everything froze on the backend.

Wow thought it would have been December of 2013.

Nice. Just under .5 in Easton CT (close to the Fairfield boarder).

Wow.

Hopefully that GOA trough is transient.

Solid coating in Easton CT. Looks nice. Still snowing.

Solid coating in Easton CT. Looks nice. Still snowing.

100% KU storms are relatively rare. I may be mistaken however I think we only had 6 widespread KU events from 1970 through 1999 (three decades).

1980s and early 1990s lol

I may be wrong, however I was thinking we needed the wave to remain strong to counteract the strengthening PV (at least this is what is on the Eric Web Twitter post from earlier). I am unfamiliar with the driving force behind the EPO/PNA, however on the ensembles it seems to be migrating off the coast, and perhaps that is typical with La Ninas.

Only looking at the MJO, however, the mid month warm up seems to align with the MJO phases below (taking lag into consideration). If the wave can stay together should reach 781 by January.

I wonder if the more persistent SE ridge these days would yield better results wrt snowfall avoiding suppression.

I was thinking, if the issue was suppression that year then add in more of a SE ridge and we could be off to the races.

80/81 was not terrible snowfall wise with CPK at 19.4 inches. Not sure what the temps were like wrt above or below average.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjo.shtml