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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Yeah can help us here unlike December. This sst temps may be around for a few years before cycling cooler.
  2. Really losing my confidence in this system. We need it to deepen early enough and close enough to allow for enough dynamic cooling (i.e. under the CCB). Plus not a peep from Forky.
  3. Yeah, slightly east and weaker = less dynamic cooling and rain.
  4. Yup. Starting 2014 east has been best save 2021. Will flip back to west is best at some point.
  5. Yeah TWC has me all rain now. NWS point and click down to an inch.
  6. GEFS is a little west of 12z and a lot more QPF for the region especially Long island and CT. However more QPF across the board. Think the NW low has a trough to the offshore low again however with heavy precip.
  7. FWIW the GEFS upped the QPF for all.
  8. I am going with 50% only for simplicity at this point.
  9. Yeah that's my hope a GFS EURO blend is our bullseye.
  10. Let's have another GFS EURO showdown 2015 style. Revenge of the EURO.
  11. I would be soooooo angry. Can we split the difference between the GFS and EURO?
  12. This is a case where you can wake up and the snow is gone! In 2018 had a 10 incher that dropped a tree on my house. I went to bed and a few hours later woke up was down to 3. The zoo keeper needs to be on top of this.
  13. GFS made a big step towards the EURO and UKMET.. To
  14. A norlun trough can be extremely heavy. Also this low is intense.
  15. In March 2019 a storm came in and I was at 38 and white rain. A few hours later the intensity picked up big time and I quickly went to 33 and heavy snow. Ended up with 8 inches of cement. Point being, yes you can get accumulating snow at 33/34 if it's heavy enough. This has to be what NWS is thinking.
  16. I hope BDR get in on the fun to avoid the futility record.
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