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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Seems like the EURO has a much larger precip shield. GFS is tight
  2. EastonSN+
    Lol. Figured it had to show this sooner or later.
  3. EastonSN+
    But, if the modeling moves east, won't the western crowd now bail?
  4. EastonSN+
    Congrats highlands
  5. EastonSN+
    GFS seems to be moving the low along a lot faster too (maybe a later capture).
  6. EastonSN+
    That's cause January acted like an El Nino. The December and February (with the latest storms and records) was a west displaced la Nina trough. It just happens that California went from one pattern to another that hit them hard. Like in 95/96 where each pattern alternation we went into happened to work out for us. The same is happening this year for them.
  7. EastonSN+
    El Nino looks like this. It's a positive PNA undercut by a strong PAC. A la Nina is the opposite with a trough.
  8. EastonSN+
    That was January only. December February and March had a deep trough over California allowing the storms to move South and the cold air to drain. Please take a look.
  9. EastonSN+
    Take a look at the trough positioning. You will see why California had all this precipitation. It's still a west coast trough displaced west of the Rockies. That is la Nina.
  10. EastonSN+
    Ugh you are incorrect. This was a record west coast trough and a strongly coupled La Nina. We do not snow in March in strong la Ninas. We love El Ninos, but a strong El Nino like 97/98 we had perfect benchmark tracks and they all failed as it was too strong. Same here with the la Nina. You are broad brushing Nina's which is 100% incorrect. Yes we snow in March in a weaker Nina. This year was historic.
  11. EastonSN+
    Not in mid March this year and with this type of la Nina year.
  12. EastonSN+
    Trend from yesterday on the EURO is to capture later. Can't get any later.
  13. EastonSN+
    US WOR needed that violent tug!
  14. EastonSN+
    Ha you would too if your season snowfall total was 6.6 inches.
  15. EastonSN+
    If climate change had such a great effect that it would cause these storms to fail (even though they did not fail in 2018 or 2019), then you would see it across the us not just the northeast. You would not see flakes on the beach of Cali anymore. I don't want to go down the CC path as people are passionate about it and a lot of the time to fuel their own agendas. It is getting warmer overall but it's not that drastic yet.
  16. EastonSN+
    I honestly do not think climate change had much to do with it. West coast continuous troughing all year kept all the cold that way. This would have failed in 1925.
  17. EastonSN+
    Yeah you are correct was a good winter in a 5 year terrible stretch. I think this will be North and west of March 2001. Capture later and west of that one.
  18. EastonSN+
    Shows you how important the overall pattern is.
  19. EastonSN+
    Yup but a bit further north. Also warmer given the la Nina strength (2000/2001 was a little below average snowfall).
  20. EastonSN+
    Yeah, I mean the entire winter was an extreme la Nina setup. I got excited yesterday but should have known. How many winters does it snow on the beach in California and give us a good winter. I am very optimistic for the coming years.
  21. EastonSN+
    I still contend we had no shot with the overall configuration over north America this winter.
  22. EastonSN+
  23. EastonSN+
    All events.
  24. EastonSN+
  25. EastonSN+
    Ugh I bet that means less for WCT now.
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