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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Thanks. Rough morning with all the negative outlooks.
  2. EastonSN+
    I guess the below means we are currently in phase 6. All guidance seems to want to loop back to the negative phases again. I am now even more concerned. Only 5 below average snowfall winters this century does not have the same ring to it.
  3. EastonSN+
    Good news with that is we survived a terrible 6 WEEK pause in winter and still pulled off almost 200% of snowfall average. We already have 6 inches. Feb 1 will basically be the 6 week point. IF it flips Feb 1 AND we have a period like last March through April, we will be at or above average snowfall. Probably higher than last year due to the earlier timing.
  4. EastonSN+
    I have to admit the EPS has rattled me. I will loose hope only until/if the forecasts for an above average snowfall winter are amended, which has not happened as of yet. They must see the light at the end of the tunnel. A flip delayed till Feb will be very tough to get above average snowfall.
  5. EastonSN+
    We had a good winter 16-17. Our area specifically was over 133% of average snowfall.
  6. EastonSN+
    The only problem I see is the ecmwf plot goes to the COD then re-emerges in phase 5
  7. EastonSN+
    Starting to come together.
  8. EastonSN+
    Heck if we could thread the needle in a pattern such as last Feb then we can Definately score a light to moderate event here.
  9. EastonSN+
    Good news is the ECMWF MJO plot goes into favorable phases. With the GEFS and GEPS it does seem like a flip is in order, timeframe probably delayed in EPS world.
  10. EastonSN+
    This as well
  11. EastonSN+
    I DO like the following To start the new year!
  12. EastonSN+
    Happy New Years All! May all the crappy model runs be forgot...
  13. EastonSN+
    Thanks.
  14. EastonSN+
    This of course would be the worst case scenario I would believe:
  15. EastonSN+
    Heck even in the hell pattern of 2011 2012 we scored a heavy snow event. Also last Feb. I have a hard time believing we continue getting shut out even if the pattern flip never materilizes. Unless the pattern is the 1985 bears version of a shut out pattern.
  16. EastonSN+
    Thanks. In your opinion, do you think the flip to a colder pattern will still occur, or are you of the belief that this is the weather for the lionshare of winter?
  17. EastonSN+
    There's always this 90s hit from Prodigy Sh**tty patter. Go check the models I'll test yah EURO GFS UKEMT and GEM Sh**tty patter. Go check the models I'll test yah EURO GFS UKEMT and GEM Go. check. the. models If you believe past 8 days, if u believe past 8 days your the victim Go check the models EURO GFS UKEMT and GEM
  18. EastonSN+
    Ha. I bless the rains down in Attleboro, gonna kill some time on Rays Winter Storm Archive...
  19. EastonSN+
    A great band TOTO once sang, "Hold the line, pattern change isnt always on time, no no no..."
  20. EastonSN+
    Most of the MJO plots go into phase 7 or COD. Only 1 loops back to 6. Do you think they are picking up an SOI drop, or will they correct back to 6 if SOI remains positive?
  21. EastonSN+
    Hopefully phase 7 mid month. At least we are ahead of the game regarding snowfall when comparing to 2014 2015.
  22. EastonSN+
    Agreed. I love only having 4 below average winters this century
  23. EastonSN+
    I will have to admit that for the first time I am concerned about the EPS and continued delay to a good pattern. However Don and Isotherm and Ray are steadfast and they are more knowledgeable than I, so until something changes I will have hope.
  24. EastonSN+
    Thanks all.
  25. EastonSN+
    Thanks. What is causing the AO spike projected below?
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