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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Boston Fringes with 27 to 30. Maine jackpot
  2. EastonSN+
    This year it is.
  3. EastonSN+
    Great post from Isotherm, posted by another person, posted in another thread.
  4. EastonSN+
    I know everyone sick of MJO. I think the reason it became so popular this year is the negative phases lines up with our recent terrifying pattern, whether by sheer coincidence or due to or a piece of the puzzel. New ECMWF
  5. EastonSN+
    Great post by Bluewave. The MJO is REALLY starting to anger me!
  6. EastonSN+
    Cool. But still a 2 or 3 week difference should make no difference in overall winter snowfall total I.e. this year. If this pattern produces we still endured the 5 week shutout and got to or above average. If the snow happened the end of November then the good pattern would have been just delayed to beg. Of Feb. Wouldn't that be worse?
  7. EastonSN+
    We need a met to chime in (bluewave/Neg AO/Goose). I do not think a week or 2 difference in Nov. Timing makes that much of a difference and March is still a snowfall month like last year which was epic. What would be the scientific explanation? Besides 1989 and 2011 how many other cases saw snow before the 15th of November and were below average snowfall winters?
  8. EastonSN+
    Thanks. GEPS seems more gung no with the ridging in the extended while GEFS seems to dissipate at the end of the run. Hopefully GEPS has it right.
  9. EastonSN+
    From yesterday, I really hope we do not see the members re emerging from the COD in phase 5.
  10. EastonSN+
    MJO plot.
  11. EastonSN+
    Question. Why do we see the -NAO on the GEFS and GEPS however the below shows positive?
  12. EastonSN+
    This century has been nothing short of epic. I have experienced only 4 below average snowfall winters so yes a lot of luck for us where we scored on thread the needle events. Perhaps this is the flip where nothing goes our way, we shall see.
  13. EastonSN+
    On the flip side, 4 inches fell in Nov. 1995 and it was the snowiest winter ever. 4 inches fell Nov. 2002 and it was the 2nd snowiest winter. 6 inches fell 2012 and my area ended above average while NYC reached average. So for every 1989, 2011 there are the above cases. Basically early snow has no affect on winter.
  14. EastonSN+
    Stole from the MA forum. This would be a good start from the mean:
  15. EastonSN+
    I REALLY hope the op GFS and FV3 are incorrect with the cutter parade! CMC and EURO look good so i have faith. The weeklies had the pattern lasting to approx end of Feb. However, even if we flip out of the "epic" pattern the following one may be average, which is still an improvement over what we just experienced. Given the above still have faith of at least average yearly snowfall.
  16. EastonSN+
    That's hilarious
  17. EastonSN+
    Got to do the 1980s throwback at some point for nostalgia
  18. EastonSN+
    Check out the GFS ENS mean posted in the MA forum. WOW. the MEAN is 10 to 12 in SNE for 1/16 through 1/21! With Nov. That would bring me to 50% yearly average.
  19. EastonSN+
    At least in 2011 2012 we saved big on heating. If its frigid and dry this winter will hit us in the stomach and wallet.
  20. EastonSN+
    If we flip to cold and dry, IMO will be worst ratter in 35 years.
  21. EastonSN+
    THIS would definately be a terrible situation. Warm and wet to cold and dry. Hope this is not the case but even if we get suppressed, when the pattern breaks down there may be an awesome storm.
  22. EastonSN+
    Continues to bend to the left.
  23. EastonSN+
    Weeklies posted in the middle Atlantic forum they look good
  24. EastonSN+
    Just read in a forum which shall remain annonamis that NAO negative then "flips" the 25th of FEB. That's a decent time period.
  25. EastonSN+
    If I may be greedy for a moment, how do the following weeks look (and how far out do they actually go)?
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