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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    I feel way more confident in snowy Marches than December. 2013. 2015. 2017. 2018. 2019.
  2. EastonSN+
    Nice look!
  3. EastonSN+
    March 2013, March 2009 and a few more can be added to the list. I just feel that the 10+ snowfall list is very misleading to the forum. North south east and west of Manhattan. I believe that unless you are in Manhattan your chances of getting a 10+ snowfall in March are pretty decent and probably better than December.
  4. EastonSN+
    Here is an example of pure luck. The 10 plus amounts are SOUTH and east. This could have easily added to the 10 plus March list. If it's heat island driven, then the stats for March 10 plus are misleading for anyone outside of Manhattan.
  5. EastonSN+
    Perhaps the forum could correct me, however I feel like while NYC has had a hard time getting 10+ storms in March, Long island gets them far more frequently. What would be the cause of this? Like the storm below, being east seems as important as being north.
  6. EastonSN+
    Volatility in March can equal massive storm payouts.
  7. EastonSN+
    Here is the end of the run where the PV is starting to lift out. Perfect overrunning storm signal.
  8. EastonSN+
    Love the GEFS look
  9. EastonSN+
    This is where a SE ridge flex would help us!
  10. EastonSN+
    Definitely colder but would want that trough a bit further west to avoid suppression.
  11. EastonSN+
    Looks like I am the anomaly yet again. Only have 18.5 in Easton CT.
  12. EastonSN+
    Thanks. Trough is a bit further east but solid overrunning. IMO GEFS could introduce suppression similar to 2014. EPS seems to have a better stronger SE ridge.
  13. EastonSN+
    I hope the EPS look as tasty as the GEFS.
  14. EastonSN+
    Thanks! Do the EPS look good too?
  15. EastonSN+
    I need 11.5
  16. EastonSN+
    Had to post as we are going into March courtesy not AM
  17. EastonSN+
    Wonder what MJO phase this was courtesy of AM
  18. EastonSN+
    The GEFS is remarkably similar to 2015. My second favorite March with 4 3 to 6 inch events totaling 20 inches.
  19. EastonSN+
    Personal definitions Less than 10 inches ratter Less than 15 terrible Less than 20 bad Less than 25 disappointing Less than 30 slightly disappointing
  20. EastonSN+
    For me it's not a bad winter to date, BUT if I am shut out the rest of the winter than yes I would consider this a bad winter. Definitely not a ratter or terrible winter, but bad IMO.
  21. EastonSN+
    Thanks for this. Do you think we have a decent shot at reaching phases 7 and 8 by mid March? The MJO wave according to forecast seems to be moving faster.
  22. EastonSN+
    MJO wave according to charts is screaming towards 7 and 8 and could be there by the 10th. That could be the start of the look.
  23. EastonSN+
    I wonder if this is what the models are picking up on in mid March. Looking at the speed of the wave below should be 7 by 10th or so.
  24. EastonSN+
    That was terrible. Had 58 inches and thought had a shot at my seasonal record of 92 inches in 96. Three snowstorms lined up in March with the first one pegged for 16 inches. All three storms shoved south.
  25. EastonSN+
    It will all come down to the EPO. If we can get what that shows then we will at least have cold. We will NEED a stronger SE ridge to avoid suppression.
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