EastonSN+

Interesting one 5 to 9 WWA due to long duration. PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 CTZ009-NJZ004-006-104>108-NYZ071>075-078-176>179-181200- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.210218T1100Z-210219T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.210218T0900Z-210220T0000Z/ Southern Fairfield-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx- Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk- Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 355 PM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Snowfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are expected Thursday, with total snowfall accumulations of 5 to 9 inches by the end of the event on Friday. A light glaze of ice accumulation is possible Thursday Night as well. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 4 AM Thursday to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...This will be a long duration winter weather event. Light to moderate snowfall is likely early Thursday morning into afternoon. A light wintry mix of sleet and/or freezing rain is possible for a period Thursday evening into Thursday Night, before turning back to light snow on Friday morning and ending in the afternoon or evening. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This would work I think?

They beat me for the first time! Sitting at 34 here in Easton. Average range 30 to 35.

Anyone have Kuchera EURO?

Already at seasonal average just want 2 to get me to above average. Only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century!

Already at seasonal average just want 2 to get me to above average. Only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century!

Nice negative EPO and NAO.

CMC has multiple as well. 6plus everywhere except less as you go further north.

Yeah no other model comes close to what ICON is showing

RGEM seems to have multiple waves.

Talk about a TIGHT coastal gradient.

Negative NAO and Negative EPO fighting negi PNA and SE ridge.

Tight squeeze.

Talk about a tight squeeze

Anyone got 18z EURO

18z new GFS

Para with the skip zone further south.

It's east based but it's there with the EPO. Perhaps we get another shot.

I wonder however, we had blocking in December. Was that from an SSWE also? Plus ensembles bring back the negative NAO EOM. Perhaps it's a background state now?

Alaska is warm in my screen shot. SE ridge is there but mitigated. Will definitely be cold nearby.

I find this time period interesting. Negative EPO and Negative NAO fighting the negative PNA.

First wave maxes out to the south. Then the main storm comes in and it's lighter and flips quick.

DC may finally get their storm!

I have seen this before, first burst comes in then looses steam and next burst is less and quick to sleet. I believe there was a good example which cause Philly to get 8 during a football game and we ended up with 1 to 3.