EastonSN+

I think we are going to see wild temperature swings in March. TRUE torch conditions (not 50 degree fake torch days that average out to a record month), however 60 degree plus days. I also think we will have strong cold shots when cutters pass. I am hesitant to say "winter is over" as this is a perfect weak trailing wave light snow event setup. Just looking at the GFS show multiple coating to 2 inch events. We will not have the pesky negative NAO to cause compression this time (December was a disaster cool and dry).

Up to half inch of sleet. Schools closed. 19 inches on the year.

Lol. Nature always has a way of evening everything out. Last year Southwest was best, this year Northeast Hopefully next year Northwest gets it

2019 was the last big March and was not SSW related. 11.5 here from 2 separate storms. 2018 was SSW related. But the big Marches of 2017 and 2015 we're not SSWE related.

Well the GFS somehow gave me more snow this run. I guess there's that

Wouldn't 10 to 1 be inaccurate for my area due to sleet? Kutchera seems to account for the different ratios.

Why would I not use Kutchera? 10 to 1 will not show the correct amounts due to sleet.

Thanks. I HOPE to get 1 to 3.

That's probably why I do not remember December being that warm. If it was a bunch of 50 degree days to me that's not a torch. Agreed 60 plus

God I hope so. Nothing worse than 50 degrees.

I was watching TWC last night and a place in Arkansas has 2 inches of pure sleet!

Still have March to go.

Euro cut back again for southern CT.

For some reason I do not remember the December warmth (again to me a few days at 50 is not warm). We shall see with March but I hope we are either very warm and dry or cold and SNOWY. December again would be a train wreck IMO. Give me March 2018 or March 2012.

I hope but I just think we are getting more of the same as December. Brief warmups followed by cold shots. The warmups tarnished by precipitation. The negative NAO actually helped keep the cold out west, however now when a cold front comes through there is nothing to stop the cold in Canada.

Yeah it seems like the EPS and GEFS keep alternating positions on this. I just feel that with the cold on our side of the hemisphere we will have cutters giving us temp spikes followed by cold shots. Does not look to me like a true March 2012 warm period. December was a great example of a chilly outcome despite an RNA. To me a high of 48 degrees is not warm.

Was on a conference call what did I miss? Have we all come to a consensus on Snowfall amounts?

What do you make of the GEFS moving to a more suppressed SE ridge on the LR? I feel like the timeframe you are showing above is more about a storm tracking further to the west than an actual SE ridge flex.

The GEFS likely got colder, blockier due to the MJO wave getting weaker on the plot

Imagine the fights if we had a middle finger icon we can use with the hot dog etc.... In any event I and not a MET so can only go on what they say and what the models show me. Why is everyone piling on SEYMOUR Snow? What evidence do we have that this is a 4 to 8 STATEWIDE? Really, please someone give me hope.

This run shows too much suppression. We actually need a SE ridge otherwise cold and dry I want cold and SNOWY or WARM and dry. Cold and Dry is the worst

Yeah this is not a shut out pattern, albeit maybe a bit dry

I hope this is the worst model run of the day