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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    GFS V.16 is all snow. Almost suppressed. Then a massive cutter to cause flooding.
  2. EastonSN+
    Imo would be a major letdown if we did not get at least one more 6+ snowstorm before the blocking breaks down (or blocking stays but country flooded with Pac puke)
  3. EastonSN+
    Good news is for both events the EURO trended colder and SE. Another tick and we could be all snow
  4. EastonSN+
    Don't use old GFS anymore it's almost worthless. V.16 is more in line with other guidance.
  5. EastonSN+
    I really hope we make it to phase 8. GEFS moves back to 6 while ECMWF gets us into low amplitude 8 then COD.
  6. EastonSN+
    Not sure what to make of the weeklies and ensembles. NAO stays negative throughout however EPO goes positive and some guidance floods the country with above normal temps after 240 (GEPS). Definate troughing over Alaska which should flood country with Pac air. However, unlike January where Canada was void of any Arctic air, this go around it should take a while to remove the dense cold air from Eastern Canada. I guess worst case is we eventually go back to the Jan pattern with a better source region.
  7. EastonSN+
    Not sure what to make of the weeklies and ensembles. NAO stays negative throughout however EPO goes positive and some guidance floods the country with above normal temps after 240 (GEPS). Definate troughing over Alaska which should flood country with Pac air. However, unlike January where Canada was void of any Arctic air, this go around it should take a while to remove the dense cold air from Eastern Canada. I guess worst case is we eventually go back to the Jan pattern with a better source region.
  8. EastonSN+
    That would the the worst ice storm for this forum in decades
  9. EastonSN+
    Getting a bit annoyed with the modelling showing storms coming up and causing mix and rain in lieu of snow.
  10. EastonSN+
    Had 1.5 inches this morning in Easton. Same for Fairfield on the coast.
  11. EastonSN+
    U would think we would get a shot at a good snow event with the massive AO spike expected mid month.
  12. EastonSN+
    What are your thoughts on the large AO spike? Do you think it will drop again or is this the start of the break down.
  13. EastonSN+
    AO looks like it may spike positive mid month. Big storm?
  14. EastonSN+
    1.5 otg Easton CT. Dry slot now. 32 on the year
  15. EastonSN+
    1.5 otg Easton CT. Dry slot now. 32 on the year.
  16. EastonSN+
    That would be a kick in the.... If we get this blocking and frigid air and we rain.
  17. EastonSN+
    Thanks Bluewave. TBH, was a little disappointed in the ensembles. Although a weakened block remains in place throughout, the temps look to warm which I believe is due to a positive EPO. I feel that it is moving back to the Jan look.
  18. EastonSN+
    Thanks Walt. I would have to believe that it's relatively rare to "escape" the break down of an extreme blocking period without at least a moderate snowstorm. Would have to think the EPO going positive is to blame.
  19. EastonSN+
    Yeah punting this one.
  20. EastonSN+
    18z GFS goes all Cuttery on the big storm good thing it's the old GFS.
  21. EastonSN+
    I would take same totals under 24 hours as well.
  22. EastonSN+
    That is the 2nd big dog I was looking for.
  23. EastonSN+
    NWS kind of bullish with 3 to 4 south coast CT.
  24. EastonSN+
    NWS kind of bullish with 2 to 4 for the region save 1 to 2 LI.
  25. EastonSN+
    LR still look good?
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