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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. The pivot on the radar is beautiful to watch develop. It is really filling in nicely! Do you guys think that the precip in western PA & WV will also pivot east towards the Susquehanna Valley?
  2. Mostly back to snow in Marysville with a little sleet mix. Rates are picking up as well.
  3. The 0z GFS is on board with the back end end snow for the LSV as well!
  4. It looks like the radar is beginning to pivot with the band of precip from central PA down to northern VA.
  5. Sleet & snow mix in Marysville now. The latest HRRR says the Harrisburg area goes back to snow in the next couple of hours.
  6. @Eskimo Joe I just read some of your analysis in the Mid Atlantic thread on the possibility of changing back to snow in northern MD. What are your thoughts for southern PA?
  7. The 23z HRRR has another 6 or 7 inches of snow tonight for the Harrisburg, Lancaster, & York areas, with even a little more in Cumberland & Perry counties.
  8. How is the surface low track looking in real time? How soon could the LSV go back to snow as the coastal low further develops & heads northeast?
  9. CTP has this near term update this evening. .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/... Lots of sleet over York and Lanc counties and even working up toward Harriburg and Lebanon, now. This will hold the numbers down, but may make it even more difficult travel-wise since people drive on the sleet and compact it, making it a sheet of ice. That can be tough for the plows to clear. Snow has returned to THV, though as the precip has lightened up. Dry slot expanding a bit as it moves into far srn PA. But, instability still there with thundersnow over Mt Davis (Somerset Co). The dry slot is somewhat concerning as any break of a couple of hours would kill the snow totals if we don`t see the N-S oriented bands set up and move at a turtle-like pace. There are bands over wrn PA (with the thundersnow) and it still looks like we will have the same conditions over central PA for the first half of the night. The lack of seeding over the clouds in the dry slot means it will be a snizzly/freezing drizzle which could fall for those couple of hours from now until 8 or 9 PM. The HRRR has the snow closing in around the dry slot about that time. Will mention --ZR for the next few hrs in the srn mtns/lower susq.
  10. 6 inches of snow in Marysville as of a little after 6 pm, but we have now mixed with sleet as well here.
  11. Yes, same here in Marysville! The flake size increased in the last 15 minutes and intensity picked up even after the heavy band on radar moved through.
  12. The 18z GFS still buries the LSV despite some mixing for a few hours in parts of the LSV.
  13. It is absolutely dumping snow under this heavy band that is approaching from the south.
  14. 4.5 inches of snow in Marysville as of 5 pm ! I love being under a Special Weather Statement and Meso Discussion during a Winter Storm Warning!
  15. The radar is really looking great! Enjoy the snow today everyone! We do not know when the next chance of a major storm will come....it could be weeks, months, or years from now, so please try to take it all in and enjoy!
  16. It’s nice to be starting an event with temps in the 20’s and dew points in the low to mid teens!
  17. This is the best GFS run yet for the LSV....just wait until @pasnownut sees this run for his backyard!
  18. The 0z EPS still looks good and even improved slightly for our southeast crew.
  19. 0z Euro still looks good for all of CTP. I added the total precip map to give an idea of where the max zones look to set up this run. It also indicated very little mixing in the LSV this run.
  20. Here is the 0z UKMET...the 0z party continues for CTP.
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