Blizzard of 93

12z Euro & 18z GFS both say that we get a few inches of snow by late next week!

The 0z EPS continues to show a strong snow signal with a couple of specific threat windows showing beginning late next week through the end of week 2.

The 6z GFS for the end of next week possible event has snow for us and keeps the low to our south.

The 18z GEFS is also showing a good snow signal. Most of this falls in week 2. All of the blocking should pay off hopefully beginning with the storm threat at the end of next week. We should have our chances!

The 12z Canadian also had some snow for us by next Friday!

Yes indeed! I would sign up for the 12z Euro for this storm next Thursday.

I like that 1/27 look on the GFS, but we should have a couple of snow chances before that one.

Yes, I cleared out my attachments on here a couple of days ago in anticipation of things get very busy with this upcoming pattern! The GEFS, CMC ensemble, & EPS are all sending a great signal in the snow department. Most of the snow falls in week 2.

The -NAO continues to look impressive for most of the rest of the month. The EPO is heading negative which will help with delivering the cold air. The -PNA should bring more storm chances across that should be forced to our south because of the blocking. I just want some moisture laden storms in prime climo from mid January onward. I’ll take our chances with more cold air in the pattern thanks to the -EPO and the -NAO blocking keeping it in place. This upcoming pattern could finally produce some solid winter storm chances the last 2 weeks of the month.

The 0z Canadian has a winter storm for us next Wednesday. One of these threats with this good pattern needs to become something that we can track into the short term...

The 12z GFS has a good storm signal for early next week. There is a lot more potential with a slightly closer to the coast track if the storm deepens like thIs on the way up the coast.

Here are the latest EPS & GEFS from today. Most of this snow falls in week 2. They are trending in the right direction as an indicator of increasing winter storm potential.

Harrisburg is still 4 inches of snow above average through today’s date for the season. We already scored a major event in December. Many of us got at least a solid snow shower to coating of snow on Christmas Day! Last Sunday many had a coating of snow/sleet while some places further north & west in CTP had a few inches of snow. My point is that this Winter has been pretty good to this point. We should get more cold into the pattern next weekend. The -NAO should persist through the end of the month. The pattern looks to get more active next week. We should have a few more winter storm chances this month.

I’m good with tracking 3 to 6 inch snow chance events. The majority of our storms fall into this range. We had a KU type of event in December, which is rare. Hopefully we will get to track another major storm this season. If not, hopefully we get some light to moderate events to track soon in this pattern.

Maybe this will be the next storm chance to track? Only 9 days away! The pattern from next week to early February should produce chances to score.

Hopefully the good trends from 0z continue today!

Here is the 0z Euro.

The 0z Euro & Canadian did bring a good snowstorm to CTP next Tuesday as @MAG5035 mentioned. Here is the 0z Canadian.

@MAG5035 What do you think of our chances for the coastal potential early next week?

Ok, how about the Kuchera ratio map just for fun...!

Here is the next frame of the 12z Europe the chance early next week...crushed!

What a great 12z Euro run! It fits the pattern with the slight easing of the blocking to the north. The GFS had this storm yesterday. This should be a fun week of tracking. Our window of opportunity is just beginning to open...let the games begin!

The 12z GFS looked really good for next Monday’s coastal storm chance. I think that is definitely a storm to watch.

The 0z Euro still kept the Friday storm well off to our southeast, but it still likes the chance of a Coastal storm early Next week.

Very true, it wouldn’t take much to get southern PA in the game for this Friday. Some model runs as recent as yesterday had us getting decent snow. The good blocking is just getting established and sometimes that gives the models fits to figure out how to handle events. I am looking forward to soon watching it snow while tracking the next threat!