Blizzard of 93

Thanks ! I look forward to your posts every day. Your Weather knowledge, grasp of our regional weather history, posting style & sense of humor make your posts a very good read. Please come back & post here when you get the chance!

Yes, @psuhoffman & @showmethesnow live along the Mason-Dixon Line line. Their posts, along with @Bob Chill , provide great pattern analysis every day. I can’t wait until we have a legit storm to track in the New Year !

That ‘78 storm sounds epic. I was born just the year before that one ! The storm that ignited my love of the weather was the blizzard of ‘93 . On another topic & just having a little fun here... it looks like our good friend @pasnownut is busy posting more often in the Mid Atlantic forum instead of ours ! They have some fantastic posters there that I enjoy reading everyday. I wish some of their northern tier guys would post here once in awhile because their weather is at least similar to that of the LSV.

Most of the good posters from the other forums & many pro Mets have been targeting January 15th-20th for when the good winter pattern should begin. So, that is basically 2-3 weeks from today if true.

Next week is now looking good ! 12z GFS delivered again for the 9th & 10th

The 0z Euro & 6z GFS both agreed on the idea of a snow storm for next Tuesday & Wednesday. They both show a storm that approaches from the west that over runs a cold large high pressure area to our north. Maybe this will be the storm that delivers?

The EPS, Euro Control & GEFS agree that we get on the board with some snow in the 2 weeks. The MJO heading into phase 7 should help by next week.

The 0z EPS, 6z GFS & 6z GEFS all improved our snow chances for this Thursday & Friday. Hopefully the marginal cold air holds in place long enough & the low strengthens & passes to our southeast. We of course need the timing to be just right, but the possibility is increasing. Hopefully 12z runs keep us in the game!

Yes, I hope we score some snow before mid January too. The January 3rd/4th possibility is not dead yet & there is another chance on the 8th or 9th as well. If not, maybe this will be like the winter of 2014-2015, where we didn’t get much snow before January 20th that year. Then we had a good pattern of snow from late January through the middle of March that took MDT to an above average snow season of 39 inches. This year, at least we are still running above normal snow to date thanks to our November 8.8 inch snowfall.

Patience everyone....patience. I think we will be talking about storms & rumors of snow storms before too long! Trust in the Euro weeklies & good seasonal models that have advertised a good looking winter pattern for the middle of January right through March. Our time will come soon!

Yes indeed! We just need a little patience, just like that song from the 80’s !

I had a NOAA weather radio. Every day in the winter after school, I could not wait until they updated the forecast in the late afternoon. The best times took place when the alerts for a “Winter Storm Warning” were broadcast. I would listen to it over & over ! In the 80’s & 90’s,in the days before the internet, all that we had for weather news was the weather radio, local TV weather, The Weather Channel & Weather World on PBS. I would try to flip around during the 6pm or 11pm TV news to catch every forecast possible during winter!

Great post MAG ! I think that in a few weeks our snowless December will be a distant memory ! The Euro weeklies released today look outstanding in terms of good winter storm pattern potential from mid January through the end of the run in early February. I think there will even be snow chances in the next week or so, even before the advertised “good” pattern arrives.

The 18z GEFS also delivered some Christmas cheer with its best run in a long time. The mean snow amount this run for the LSV is 5 to 6 inches. Every GEFS ensemble member, except for 1, brings at least a few inches of snow to CTP through the end of the 16 day run. Ensemble Member E8 would be nice !

The 12z EPS run today was the best in the last couple of days. We should have a few snow opportunities starting with this weekend & continuing through the first week of January. About 35 of the 50 EPS ensemble members brought at least a couple of inches of snow to CTP. There were several members that were heavy hitters. We should have a fun week of tracking!

I got the Kocin-Uccellini -KU - Northeast Snowstorm books for Christmas!!! I have wanted these for years ! Hopefully we get another 1 or 3 legendary storms to add to the book this year !

All I want for Christmas is for this 0z Euro Control run from last night to verify!

Merry Christmas to all !

Every good seasonal model & most long range pro forecasters have very much above average snow & cold for the rest of this season.

Very Light flurries now in Marysville !

The 12z GFS delivered 2 nice Christmas presents with snow events for CTP for this Sunday & again on New Year’s Day into the 2nd day of January. The maps below show the 2 events & then the first storm individual total & also the 2 event combined total.

Thanks to the 8.8 inches of snow in November at MDT, Harrisburg is above normal snow for the season to date. According to CTP’s daily summary, MDT only averages 4.1 inches of snow through December 23rd. Even if it doesn’t snow until the first week of January & beyond, Harrisburg will still be in good shape to have another chance at an above average snowfall season.

If we don’t score the first week of January, the potential pattern should get even better toward mid January & onward according to just about every long range & seasonal model. Anyway, We should have chances at snow by the first week of January.

The first half of December was below normal. The second half of November was way below normal.

I don’t think it will take a miracle.... The 12z Euro does show the snow north of the LSV, however the precip max again is over the LSV to the Lehigh Valley. Most of the precip falls after dark into 850 temperature air of less than -3. I think some of us could see the car tops & grassy surfaces covered.