Blizzard of 93

The 0z Canadian has a winter storm for us next Wednesday. One of these threats with this good pattern needs to become something that we can track into the short term...

The 12z GFS has a good storm signal for early next week. There is a lot more potential with a slightly closer to the coast track if the storm deepens like thIs on the way up the coast.

Here are the latest EPS & GEFS from today. Most of this snow falls in week 2. They are trending in the right direction as an indicator of increasing winter storm potential.

Harrisburg is still 4 inches of snow above average through today’s date for the season. We already scored a major event in December. Many of us got at least a solid snow shower to coating of snow on Christmas Day! Last Sunday many had a coating of snow/sleet while some places further north & west in CTP had a few inches of snow. My point is that this Winter has been pretty good to this point. We should get more cold into the pattern next weekend. The -NAO should persist through the end of the month. The pattern looks to get more active next week. We should have a few more winter storm chances this month.

I’m good with tracking 3 to 6 inch snow chance events. The majority of our storms fall into this range. We had a KU type of event in December, which is rare. Hopefully we will get to track another major storm this season. If not, hopefully we get some light to moderate events to track soon in this pattern.

Maybe this will be the next storm chance to track? Only 9 days away! The pattern from next week to early February should produce chances to score.

Hopefully the good trends from 0z continue today!

Here is the 0z Euro.

The 0z Euro & Canadian did bring a good snowstorm to CTP next Tuesday as @MAG5035 mentioned. Here is the 0z Canadian.

@MAG5035 What do you think of our chances for the coastal potential early next week?

Ok, how about the Kuchera ratio map just for fun...!

Here is the next frame of the 12z Europe the chance early next week...crushed!

What a great 12z Euro run! It fits the pattern with the slight easing of the blocking to the north. The GFS had this storm yesterday. This should be a fun week of tracking. Our window of opportunity is just beginning to open...let the games begin!

The 12z GFS looked really good for next Monday’s coastal storm chance. I think that is definitely a storm to watch.

The 0z Euro still kept the Friday storm well off to our southeast, but it still likes the chance of a Coastal storm early Next week.

Very true, it wouldn’t take much to get southern PA in the game for this Friday. Some model runs as recent as yesterday had us getting decent snow. The good blocking is just getting established and sometimes that gives the models fits to figure out how to handle events. I am looking forward to soon watching it snow while tracking the next threat!

Harrisburg is currently at 11.7 for the season as of today. This is currently over 5 inches above average for the season through today’s date. It is great to be well above normal snow with a pattern loaded with potential about to begin.

If the storm on Friday or Saturday doesn’t work out for CTP, then the next chance should not be too far away. The 12z Euro & 18z GFS both have a another Winter storm chance for us early next week.

Snow & sleet here in Marysville have a car top covering. Interested to see what the heavy band of precip will bring in the next few hours!

The 12z Canadian & ICON are on board with CTP & Harrisburg snow today. Not the best models, but I’ll take it!

The latest HRRR still a snow chance in the LSV later today from Harrisburg area to the west & north. The coastal is developing well off to the southeast and exiting to the east. It the rates are decent, this might have the chance to verify.

Either way, this is an early chance in the new blocking pattern. If we at first don’t succeed with this one, there should be more chances in the not too distant future. This pattern seems to be locked in for a few weeks at least.

Great, thanks! The next few weeks should be our best pattern potential that we have had in years! It’s just a matter of when & how many storms deliver! I am fired up!

@Itstrainingtime @pasnownut What are your thoughts on the upcoming storm chances later this week & next week?

Also, did anyone else see the multiple chances from the 0z GFS that I posted last night?!?! This place should be getting busy tracking this week with this advertised blocking pattern! It is just a matter of time before it delivers the snow goods to us!