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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Euro is looking good so far for CTP by Sunday evening.
  2. The 0z GEFS 0z CMC ensembles runs were impressive for many of us!
  3. I have about 48 hours to expand that Lancaster bullseye about 30 miles to the west!
  4. I picked a terrible time to take a nap!!! What a great start to the 0z runs!!!
  5. The 18z EPS mean low track looks good & it has several west leaning individual ensemble members.
  6. The 18z EPS also made a nice bump north in terms of overall precip & snow. We are trending in the right direction as game time is approaching!
  7. Most of these 18z GEFS ensemble members would work for me!
  8. The storm on the 18z Euro just stalls out off of the coast of the DelMarVa. This is hour 66 and then it is still going at the end of the 90 hour run.
  9. Yes, it is slowly coming back north! Amounts approaching 1 foot from around the turnpike and to the south on the 18z Euro!
  10. Yes, 18z GFS Crushed us with snow. Lots of precip showing up in the LSV, which is nice to see under 3 days out!
  11. 18z GFS was awesome! It looked like the really good Euro runs from 2 or 3 days ago. We are very much in the game!
  12. The 6z GFS & 6z NAM still delivered the goods. Hopefully the Euro comes back north today,
  13. Thanks, I agree that the blend of the 0z runs tonight is the best way to go at this time. The Euro usually doesn’t have this much of an extreme drop off a Cliff like it did tonight, especially at this range.
  14. To quote a famous poster from the Mid Atlantic thread....”the Euro was a disaster!” The Euro is on its own with this type of outcome. Do you think it is just one off run, especially when all other major guidance has the storm further north & west?
  15. That’s great to see and that is 10-1 ratio and only through 12z Tuesday as well.
  16. Yes, and this 0z ICON map here is just 10 to 1 ratio...wow! Nice tucked in track that stalls near the DelMarVa!
  17. While we are waiting on the rest of the 0z runs, could anyone provide their thoughts on the pattern After the early week snowstorm ?
  18. I would love to see the next few frames of the 0z NAM...Here is where it ends at 84 hours.
  19. Here is the 18z Euro at hour 90 at the end of the run and also here is the 18z GFS for hour 90. I don’t see much of a difference. The GFS in the next several hours pulled the low back in closer to the coast and hammered us with the CCB as it stalled out and then slowly moved out. Still plenty of time for adjustments to the bullseye.
  20. The 18z GEFS is targeting the bullseye right over the Susquehanna Valley!
  21. The ICON on Weatherbell doesn’t offer Kuchera ratio, so amounts would be higher for many in this set up.
  22. I’m not sure if anyone posted the 18z ICON... but it was a CTP crusher with a bullseye less than 30 miles from my house!
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