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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. It’s a little late in the for ensembles, but the 18z GEFS agreed with the Op and gets the Susquehanna Valley back in the game for the good stuff!
  2. Same here right up the road from you in Marysville. I have a little over 2 inches on the ground and steady snow continues.
  3. Yes indeed, hopefully the 18z Euro will agree with the GFS. We will find out around 7pm!
  4. The 18z GFS puts the Harrisburg, York, & Lancaster crew right back in the bullseye! Long way to go, but this was great to see the high end option remains on the table! Here is the 10-1 & Kuchera map 18z GFS.
  5. It’s a roller coaster with CTP... I sure their forecast will change five more times before the event is done. The results will probably be right around where they started out earlier today.
  6. If they are relying on the long range HRRR....I don’t know what to say....but they are the experts, so we will see how it goes.
  7. I agree. Rates are picking up now in Marysville. I have a little over 1 inch of snow on the ground.
  8. Someone will get crushed if this low stalls out like the Euro shows. Steady snow still ongoing at 10 am Tuesday in The LSV.
  9. @MAG5035 Please let us you your thoughts on ratios once the coastal gets going?
  10. Please see the map above... If MDT gets 19 inches, that is a top 10 storm.
  11. Look at the map that I just posted! Here it is AGAIN! It shows consistent amounts over 16 inches from Johnstown to Philly!
  12. This won’t be 10-1 once the coastal takes over and stalls out
  13. The low on the 12z Euro stalls out tomorrow afternoon off of the south NJ coast and stays there until 4 am Tuesday and then drifts South Tuesday am!
  14. 12z Euro...First, here is what everyone wants to see... Snow & QPF ( I heard there was a contest...!)
  15. Accuweather has this latest snow map. It looks like 12-18 for many of us. DD213D30-0780-4CA7-AE75-B4BE8AD7EC38.webp
  16. The 12z GEFS still delivers 12 to 15 inches of snow to the LSV, which is strong for an ensemble run.
  17. The hour 48 frame on the Canadian is what I was referring to in my post a few minutes ago about the banding & what @Itstrainingtime was just mentioning about lots of moving parts, etc. The location of the best bands will ultimately decide who jackpots with the higher amount and who “settles” for closer to 10 inches of snow.
  18. Here are a few frames from the 12z Canadian. We have a long way to go!
  19. The 12z Canadian low position & track is very good. The low stalls off of the DelMarVa and southern NJ coast. Notice the second precip max over State College back towards Latrobe due to the banding that sets up this run. This back could set up further east or west or maybe just fill in. The bottom line is that we are all still very much in the game.
  20. Here is the latest from CTP updated 10:36 am. For the Harrisburg area, I could live with 13 Expected inches and a High End chance of 20!
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