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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Thanks, I agree that the blend of the 0z runs tonight is the best way to go at this time. The Euro usually doesn’t have this much of an extreme drop off a Cliff like it did tonight, especially at this range.
  2. To quote a famous poster from the Mid Atlantic thread....”the Euro was a disaster!” The Euro is on its own with this type of outcome. Do you think it is just one off run, especially when all other major guidance has the storm further north & west?
  3. That’s great to see and that is 10-1 ratio and only through 12z Tuesday as well.
  4. Yes, and this 0z ICON map here is just 10 to 1 ratio...wow! Nice tucked in track that stalls near the DelMarVa!
  5. While we are waiting on the rest of the 0z runs, could anyone provide their thoughts on the pattern After the early week snowstorm ?
  6. I would love to see the next few frames of the 0z NAM...Here is where it ends at 84 hours.
  7. Here is the 18z Euro at hour 90 at the end of the run and also here is the 18z GFS for hour 90. I don’t see much of a difference. The GFS in the next several hours pulled the low back in closer to the coast and hammered us with the CCB as it stalled out and then slowly moved out. Still plenty of time for adjustments to the bullseye.
  8. The 18z GEFS is targeting the bullseye right over the Susquehanna Valley!
  9. The ICON on Weatherbell doesn’t offer Kuchera ratio, so amounts would be higher for many in this set up.
  10. I’m not sure if anyone posted the 18z ICON... but it was a CTP crusher with a bullseye less than 30 miles from my house!
  11. The EPS also delivered the goods again for CTP. Great cluster of coastal hugger ensemble member lows and a picture perfect mean low track for a classic CTP snowstorm.
  12. Yes, the 6z GFS & GEFS both continued to move to a more Euro/EPS like solution.
  13. Here is the super zoomed in 0z Euro Kuchera ratio snow map for CTP. Maybe this is the one?!??!
  14. Earlier tonight, the post from @psuhoffman stated the importance of the low being tucked in for most of our HECS. The 0z Euro run was very tucked in and it stalled out and just crushed CTP! Only a few days to go....
  15. The GEFS is coming around more with each run for CTP.
  16. The ICON has a nice track that stalls out off of the DE & south NJ coast. It has a nice swath of heavy precip over CTP.
  17. @MAG5035 What are you current thoughts before the 0z run Madness begins?
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