Thanks, I agree that the blend of the 0z runs tonight is the best way to go at this time.
The Euro usually doesn’t have this much of an extreme drop off a Cliff like it did tonight, especially at this range.
To quote a famous poster from the Mid Atlantic thread....”the Euro was a disaster!”
The Euro is on its own with this type of outcome. Do you think it is just one off run, especially when all other major guidance has the storm further north & west?
Here is the 18z Euro at hour 90 at the end of the run and also here is the 18z GFS for hour 90.
I don’t see much of a difference. The GFS in the next several hours pulled the low back in closer to the coast and hammered us with the CCB as it stalled out and then slowly moved out.
Still plenty of time for adjustments to the bullseye.
The EPS also delivered the goods again for CTP. Great cluster of coastal hugger ensemble member lows and a picture perfect mean low track for a classic CTP snowstorm.
Earlier tonight, the post from @psuhoffman stated the importance of the low being tucked in for most of our HECS.
The 0z Euro run was very tucked in and it stalled out and just crushed CTP!
Only a few days to go....