Blizzard of 93

That dry slot is over 1 inch of QPF for your county!

Here are the 6z Euro Kuchera & QPF for all of PA

That’s the GFS

Here is the 6z EPS. Steady the last 4 runs!

The 6z Euro still looks great

The 6z GFS was another CTP crusher.

Here is the CTP Warning for the rest of the counties including Lebanon & Lancaster. Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 452 AM EST Sun Jan 31 2021 PAZ042-046-051-053-058-059-066-312200- /O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210202T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0003.210131T1500Z-210202T1000Z/ Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Montour-Columbia-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Lancaster- Including the cities of Laporte, Williamsport, Danville, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Lancaster 452 AM EST Sun Jan 31 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches, with the highest amounts north of Harrisburg. A light glaze of ice is likely south of Harrisburg. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Light snow will overspread the region late this morning and continue through tonight. The snow could become heavier on Monday and potentially mix with ice south of Harrisburg. Expect the snow to taper by late Monday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult today through Monday evening.

Good morning!!! it looks like CTP escalated the Winter Storm Warning by bumping snow totals up a few inches. Hopefully this continues to bump up as the storm gets underway, Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 452 AM EST Sun Jan 31 2021 PAZ019-024>028-033>036-045-049-050-052-056-057-063>065-312200- /O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210202T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0003.210131T1000Z-210202T1000Z/ Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset- Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder- Northumberland-Perry-Dauphin-Cumberland-Adams-York- Including the cities of State College, Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Lock Haven, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Sunbury, Shamokin, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Carlisle, Gettysburg, and York 452 AM EST Sun Jan 31 2021 ... WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches, with the highest amounts north and east of Harrisburg. A light glaze of ice is also likely from Harrisburg southward. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Light snow will overspread the region this morning and continue through tonight. The snow could become heavier on Monday and potentially mix with ice from Harrisburg southward. Expect the snow to taper off by late Monday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult today through Monday evening.

Wow!!!

0z Canadian ensembles look great yet again! Remarkable totals for an ensemble run.

The 0z GEFS remained steady with 10 to 14 inches at 10-1 Ratio for most of CTP.

This UKMET 10-1 ratio snow map through Tuesday am. Good run for the LSV.

Relax...no one is starting anything. No one has won or lost until we are measuring & shoveling on Tuesday. Let’s enjoy the journey!

Yes, this low develops nicely to our south and stalls at the DelMarVa and then cranks well into the night on Monday into early Tuesday am.

Do you have a map? Weatherbell does not have the Para.

Monday afternoon & night should be a lot of fun!

GFS....Approved!

I love the pre-storm mental preparations. It’s like before a big game with your favorite team. Lots of rationalizing over the potential outcomes. The chance of glory or defeat is agonizing, but so much fun that we continually enjoy the ritual!

Here is the ICON precip.... the end result will be up to where the best bands set up. We are in great shape!

This is the 10-1 map for the ICON... I don’t think Kuchera is available for it that I have seen.

Lol... You sound like Ji right now fretting over lost digital snow!

The early maps that are being posted in the mid Atlantic thread for the 0z RGEM look very good for CTP in terms of the CCB placement.

It’s not within range....ever! I’ve seen it fail at the 6 hour range several times. I’ll take the 16 inches that it has for my yard though this run!

Bingo! It’s actually a fairly wide jackpot from Harrisburg to Selinsgrove back towards Altoona.

18z EPS still looks very solid.