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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. The EPS also delivered the goods again for CTP. Great cluster of coastal hugger ensemble member lows and a picture perfect mean low track for a classic CTP snowstorm.
  2. Yes, the 6z GFS & GEFS both continued to move to a more Euro/EPS like solution.
  3. Here is the super zoomed in 0z Euro Kuchera ratio snow map for CTP. Maybe this is the one?!??!
  4. Earlier tonight, the post from @psuhoffman stated the importance of the low being tucked in for most of our HECS. The 0z Euro run was very tucked in and it stalled out and just crushed CTP! Only a few days to go....
  5. The GEFS is coming around more with each run for CTP.
  6. The ICON has a nice track that stalls out off of the DE & south NJ coast. It has a nice swath of heavy precip over CTP.
  7. @MAG5035 What are you current thoughts before the 0z run Madness begins?
  8. I said “potential” ....not “locked in” ....Lol!
  9. @showmethesnow If you get the chance, please let us know your thoughts on this potential blockbuster storm.
  10. The 18z GEFS is starting to come around to the Euro idea for the storm on Monday. There are an increasing amount of ensemble member lows off of the coast and it develops a mean low position just off of the coast of the DelMarVa by early Monday am. The snow map is reflecting the potential of the CTP jackpot!
  11. The 12z EPS was beautiful! The mean low position and track along with the individual ensemble member low clusters were ideal for CTP snow.
  12. Great posts & awesome Euro, EPS & Canadian runs as well. Did you see the CIPS analogs posted on the Mid Atlantic forum as well? The top 10 storm analogs are a greatest hits list for CTP snow. Let’s do this!
  13. The 6z GFS even though it has a different evolution that is further north than the Euro, still delivers a very good result for most of CTP.
  14. The 0z EPS was a great run with just about every ensemble member low north of the 0z Euro Op. Most of the EPS members are tucked near the coast, some are inland and some just off of the DelMarVa. The EPS mean precip & snow map also increased for much of CTP.
  15. ICON gets the 0z runs off to a Great start for CTP! It tucks the low in at the mouth of the Delaware Bay.
  16. I was just mentioning my point in general terms about his posts, not just for this event.
  17. I agree, it is way to early to worry about boundaries when the final track is far from set. Remember, for the December storm, that Binghamton, NY a couple of days before the event looked to be getting fringed with under 10 inches of snow and they ended up with 3 feet! Also, the day before the December storm, CTP had the 18 inch bullseye near Harrisburg & Carlisle with no mention of sleet. Harrisburg ended up with 11 inches. The CTP snow bullseye in reality ended up from I-80 on north where many places ended up with 2 feet! I like where we are sitting at this range.
  18. Great to see you posting! I hope all is well and hopefully we will see you offer your thoughts & comments for the rest of the Winter and beyond.
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