Blizzard of 93

Very light dusting of snow on the car tops in Marysville.

The 0z GFS is a @pasnownut bullseye ! Most of us in the Susquehanna Valley get 2-4 inches this run, which seems to be the consensus with most models today.

Adams, York & Lancaster are 2-4 as well in the update for those counties.

The 0z RGEM looks good for the LSV.

Erroneous! Everyone,including Harrisburg, is still 2-4 except for maybe more in Schuylkill county... Here is the actual latest update from CTP... Mifflin-Juniata-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming- Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin- Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Including the cities of Lewistown, Mifflintown, Trout Run, Laporte, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle 954 PM EST Mon Jan 28 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total accumulations of 2 to 4 inches most places, with up to 6 inches possible over the higher terrain of Schuylkill County. The lightest amounts will be west of the Susquehanna River. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Light snow will arrive toward dawn Tuesday and should taper off Tuesday evening.

I think these maps are automated depending on whatever the NAM spits out every 6 hours.

The 18z GFS says this place will be busy over the next 16 days !

I think the radar looks pretty good. There is precip tailing back along the front the whole way back to Texas. There is also also precip streaming in from the gulf down in Louisiana. This should feed in into the secondary wave that develops along the front tomorrow. Current temperatures look good too with current temps in the 20’s & dew points in the 10-15 range region wide.

It wouldn’t be a winter storm around here if we didn’t get this type of post from @canderson !

Yes, it looks like only a 3 or 4 day warm up at the most starting on Sunday. According to tonight’s Euro weeklies, & recent runs of the GEFS & CFS, it looks like February could still be loaded with wintry potential if we can get some of the advertised -NAO blocking to deliver.

The 0z Euro & EPS are still looking good for our Tuesday snow .

If they play it too conservative, there could be a disaster on the roads Tuesday evening just like back in November.

The 18z High Res 3k NAM & 18z GFS continue to look good for our snow !

The 12z EPS & Control Agee with the Euro Op for our Tuesday snow !

Yes, the 12z Euro looked very nice for the Susquehanna Valley! This run should really interest @pasnownut & @Itstrainingtime Hopefully we can lock this in !

The 12z GEFS agreed with the Op. Most of the ensemble members looked similar.

Good agreement between the 12z GFS & Canadian for our Tuesday snow this week. The next frame on the Canadian wasn’t available, hence the difference in end time on the 2 maps, but the precip was through in CTP with both posted maps. I would take 4 inches of snow followed by a few days of frigid temps to preserve it !

The ending dates & times are different on those 2 maps posted above.

The 3k NAM at 12z likes the idea of a few inches of snow by the end of Tuesday for most of us.

This is also NAM 10-1 ratio, & Kuchera ratio would more than likely bump these amounts up a bit.

The long range NAM at the end of its run is on board for our Tuesday snow. The event still would have a couple of more hours to go for most of us if the NAM went past hour 84.

Welcome to the forum ! The 12z Euro & Canadian agree on snow for us on Tuesday. We are only a few days out from a potentially nice light to moderate event. The Euro seems to be locked in the last few runs on the LSV getting 3-5 inches of snow by Wednesday am, with maybe more for our I-80 crew.

It’s going to be frigid for a few days, hopefully with a few inches of snow on the ground. And...your trash cans will probably get blown away by the wind again!

6z GFS agrees with the Euro for our snow chance on Tuesday into Wednesday am.

Maybe the 0z Euro & EPS will cheer you & everyone else up as well ? I’d sign up for this right now for 4-5 inches of snow by Wednesday am for the LSV !