Blizzard of 93

The 0z Euro & EPS remained steady for this potential storm for CTP.

The 6z GFS had the best run yet for this event for the southern half of CTP.

Yes, and I really like where we are sitting in the LSV. The bullseye keeps moving north & south, but we have stayed very much in the game the last couple of days. Hopefully we are digging out from the early week storm while tracking the late week opportunity!

There is a ton to track over the next week. The Monday/Tuesday storm is only 5 days out!

@MAG5035 What do you think of the potential storm chances next week that the Euro & EPS are advertising?

The 12z EPS was on board with all of the potential of the Euro Op run. Here is the EPS 15 day total snow! It was not long ago that this map was consistently showing around 3 inches for the 15 days. The last couple of days we have been near 8 inches on these maps, and today most of CTP is over 10 inches of snow. Awesome signal for the 15 day map!

The bottom line is that next week is loaded with potential. We have the chance to have a great week of winter weather with 2 storm opportunities. Here are the combined 2 event snow total 12z Euro maps for next week in 10-1 and Kuchera ratio. I would be thrilled with half of this!

The next best part of the 12z Euro Op run was the chance for a second winter storm later in the week on next Thursday into Friday.

The 12z Euro Op has the look of a solid front end thump of snow then mixing over to sleet and freezing rain.

Here is the 12z EPS snow map for the early week threat.

The 12z EPS still likes the idea of the early next week low tracking to the Ohio Valley & then transferring off of the Mid Atlantic coast.

No need to apologize... The 12z Euro & EPS said that we should buckle up for a very busy winter storm week next week!

There was a dusting of snow overnight here in Marysville. It looks like another snow shower might make it here within the hour.

The 15 day 0z EPS snow map still looks good for chances beyond the early week threat.

It’s good to see the EPS continue to be on board for the storm chance next week. There are are several ensemble members that target CTP. I would sign up for the 0z Euro Control run.

I would sign up for the 0z Canadian for early next week.

I am gaining confidence for next week because all of the models today showed us getting some snow in the same time period. It is not the case of one random run by one model. Like @pasnownut said, a few more runs and I will be excited. Hopefully we get to the point where the main question is not if we get snow, but how much!

Next week is our best chance since the December blockbuster snow event. We have multiple opportunities. I feel really good that we will score at least once. If all goes well, then we might get hit twice with snow!

The maps above are the 12z EPS through next Friday morning and then the combined amount through the end of the 15 day run. I like where we are sitting now in CTP!

The 12z models today were fantastic today with multiple snow chances next week. There could be the opportunity for the rare “snow on snow” next week. There was good consensus at 12z today among the Euro, GFS & Canadian. Here are their snow maps through next Friday morning.

The 0z EPS agrees with the Op Euro with multiple winter storm threats over the next 10 days to 2 weeks for CTP.

The 0z Euro provided 2 Winter Storm chances for next week. For the early week storm, It wouldn’t take much of a shift to the south with the storm track to give a mostly snow event to our southern tier. As it stands with this run, it would be mostly snow for the northern half of CTP. The southern half of CTP would have a heavy mix changing to snow as the low transfers off of the coast. The next threat is incoming next Thursday night into Friday at the end of the ten day run. It would have been nice to see the next 6 to 12 hours!

The overall 15 day EPS snow map is absolutely the best that we have seen this season since before the December event! Could we get the elusive chance of snow on snow?

The 12z EPS then has another snow window of opportunity later next week into the end the month.