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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. If we have 1 off run I’m sure that our friends @Eskimo Joe & @canderson will cancel the storm!
  2. The Monday storm still needs to be figured out. Will it be a tiny appetizer or a small plate? Here are CTP’s thoughts this morning on the Monday event: “The models are not in total agreement with the northward extent and QPF amounts, even though timing is similar. Neither of the solutions is generally preferred, and the spread is also good info. For now, we have bumped up the PoPs across the S to categorical (>80%) and mentioned 1-2" of snow in the southern half of the area. There are motions by the 00Z European and 06Z GFS representatives to push the heavier precip farther to the north. The 06Z NAM takes the QPF to another level and would make a significant snowfall event if it were to come to fruition. The arguments against the heavier QPF are two-fold: The fast W-E storm speed, and the Wrly/NWrly flow throughout the event which could bring in drier air and cut down both the northward extent of the precip and the QPF amounts.”
  3. I almost passed out again when I saw the 2 event combined snow total for this week on the 0z Euro! The regular 10 to 1 ratio map is fantastic... but the Kuchera ratio amount would be historic for some of us in here!
  4. @MAG5035 Unless you really fainted....What do you think of the 0z runs tonight?!
  5. The storm comes to a crawl just off of the coast of southern NJ on Thursday morning!
  6. The old saying goes around these forums...,”The great storms lock in early” !!!
  7. Amazing Euro run for CTP! The height of the storm does bring some mixing to York & Lancaster, but there is plenty of snow for everyone in CTP this run. Classic major snowstorm look for this region with the track and position of the Low and the High parked over Quebec.
  8. Me too!!! This is just the main event, not including Monday’s snow....!!
  9. Round 1 on Monday looks like very nice appetizer for the LSV!
  10. While we wait for the Euro....The 0z GEFS & Canadian ensembles continued to look good.
  11. I just managed to get in a few hours of sleep! I am ready for the Euro! The 0z GFS & Canadian look great, hopefully the Euro continues the party!
  12. Yes indeed! This is fun! We are back! Tracking 2 potential snow events over the next 5 days is going to be awesome!
  13. The 18z EPS was even further north with with the Monday event. It gets most of CTP with a 2 to 4 inch snow.
  14. Here is 0z NAM for the Monday event. The NAM is trying to turn this into more of a light dinner than an appetizer for the LSV.
  15. The 18z Euro likes the idea of a nice little 2 to 4 inch snow appetizer event on Monday for the LSV.
  16. The latest EPS, GEFS & Canadian ensembles are all on board for the snowstorm this week.
  17. I almost passed out today when I saw the Euro run for this storm! If this somehow verified, Harrisburg would only need 6 more inches of snow to reach climo average by the end of this season!
  18. CTP is starting to ramp up their thoughts on the potential snowstorm next week in their discussion this afternoon. “In all, things continue pointing towards a potentially significant snowfall for at least portions of central PA for the middle of next week.”
  19. Here is another look at the 0z Euro. The EPS strongly supports it as well.
  20. That’s my plan! Small appetizer on Monday...then the feast on Wednesday!
  21. Great post @MAG5035 I also want no part of Monday if it takes anything away from the great potential of the Wednesday storm! However, could we in the southeast part of CTP get away with just 1 or 2 measly inches of snow on Monday, and still get blasted with heavy snow on Wednesday...asking for a friend!
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