Blizzard of 93

The 18z GFS still likes the idea of a couple inches of snow for some of us on Monday.

So, you are saying that the I-81 corridor jackpots! I won’t have a problem with that!

The 12z EPS also crushed CTP!

Yes, welcome back! This week should be great tracking!

Crushed!

@psuhoffman What are your thoughts on the round 1 Monday event for southern PA to northern MD ?

Yes! Great to see you stopping by here. I read your thoughts in the other thread, but please keep us posted here as we embark on this potentially great week of winter!

Here is the 12z GFS combination of the 2 events as of Thursday. Amazing!

Here is the map that most us want to see! This is just for the Wednesday/Thursday event, not counting Monday.

Here is the12z GFS regional look for Wednesday night....Wow!

Here is the 6z EPS for the Monday appetizer to small plate event. It gets snow further north into CTP than the Op runs.

Here are the 2 NAMs from the 12z run. The answer probably will end up in the middle of these 2 solutions.

What are your thoughts on how the 2 storms play out this week? P.S. I love being able to just ask this question after what we endured last season!

They always say that you need to smell the rain to get the best snow!

Thanks man! I was just joking around. Some of us remember in January 2016 when you canceled the storm after 1 off Euro run!

If we have 1 off run I’m sure that our friends @Eskimo Joe & @canderson will cancel the storm!

The Monday storm still needs to be figured out. Will it be a tiny appetizer or a small plate? Here are CTP’s thoughts this morning on the Monday event: “The models are not in total agreement with the northward extent and QPF amounts, even though timing is similar. Neither of the solutions is generally preferred, and the spread is also good info. For now, we have bumped up the PoPs across the S to categorical (>80%) and mentioned 1-2" of snow in the southern half of the area. There are motions by the 00Z European and 06Z GFS representatives to push the heavier precip farther to the north. The 06Z NAM takes the QPF to another level and would make a significant snowfall event if it were to come to fruition. The arguments against the heavier QPF are two-fold: The fast W-E storm speed, and the Wrly/NWrly flow throughout the event which could bring in drier air and cut down both the northward extent of the precip and the QPF amounts.”

This is the best GFS run yet!

I almost passed out again when I saw the 2 event combined snow total for this week on the 0z Euro! The regular 10 to 1 ratio map is fantastic... but the Kuchera ratio amount would be historic for some of us in here!

@MAG5035 Unless you really fainted....What do you think of the 0z runs tonight?!

The storm comes to a crawl just off of the coast of southern NJ on Thursday morning!

The old saying goes around these forums...,”The great storms lock in early” !!!

Amazing Euro run for CTP! The height of the storm does bring some mixing to York & Lancaster, but there is plenty of snow for everyone in CTP this run. Classic major snowstorm look for this region with the track and position of the Low and the High parked over Quebec.

Me too!!! This is just the main event, not including Monday’s snow....!!

CTP is Absolutely crushed by the Euro!!!